Top pundit Tony Elves has three strong bets on a busy Saturday of racing.
Fast ground at Doncaster in November is not what most turfistes would have expected this weekend but let’s hope that play into the hands of punters rather than trying to define the winners on ground that usually resembles the Somme.
Martin Lane has become a regular fixture on the Godolphin jockey’s roster and I can’t help but think that the journey up the A1 before taking on five rides at Chelmsford can prove worthwhile thanks to ALBERNATHY in the Betfred “Supports Jack Berry House” Handicap (1.50).
The Dubawi colt is one that has proved his effectiveness on decent ground over seven furlongs and was ridden by Lane when a highly creditable runner-up, beaten a length and a quarter, to the Sir Michael Stoute-trained Musdam in a tough looking handicap at Ascot in September.
Albernathy has been raised 3lb to a mark of 90 for that effort but he was only having the seventh race of his life on that occasion and looks to have room for further improvement. Further investigation of his form reveals that he was good enough to beat Von Blucher a neck when winning his maiden over seven furlongs at Sandown in June of last year and that horse is plying trade in top handicaps off a mark of 98 and a further plus in the selection’s favour is that he has shown decent form over course and distance having finished runner-up to Champagne City in a decent novice event in his first season.
The first time cheekpieces could also prove of assistance and there should be plenty of pace around him with the front running That Is The Spirit two stalls away from Albernathy in stall 14. A three-year-old that is showing improvement at this stage of the season could well be worth his weight in gold and Albernathy looks worth a 2pt win bet.
GROWL won’t be at get-rich-quick odds in the Listed Betfred Mobile Wentworth Stakes (2.25) but if there is any justice he will surely gain a third success of the season. The Marwan Koukash-trained gelding was racing off a mark of 93 when gaining his last victory over six furlongs at Windsor in June and has run some cracking races in defeat in his five subsequent starts. He showed much improved form when beaten only a length by The Tin Man in the Group 1 Champions Sprint at Ascot in the middle of last month and if he is in similar form then he should prove too much of a handful for these rivals. He looks worth a 2pt investment too.
Ground is obviously the key to LADY OF CAMELOT and with the prevailing good to firm conditions she can prove a solid wager in the Listed Betfred TV EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Gillies Fillies Stakes (3.00). The John Gosden-trained filly found only stablemate Journey too good in a listed event over a mile and a half at Newmarket in September and performed well up to standard in a similar event over ten furlongs at that course the following month when runner-up to Laganore. The testing ground at Newbury later in October proved totally unsuitable but Lady of Camelot looks good enough to come out on top in this contest.