Rory Jiwani picks out the best value bets from the third round at Flushing Meadows.
More mixed results in round two but we’re still going strong in the outrights and quarters stakes with Gael Monfils looking good following Milos Raonic’s surprise exit.
Novak Djokovic received a walkover over Jiri Vesely which will have done him some good. Next up is Mikhail Youzhny who has given him some problems in the past and is playing pretty well this week. I’m very interested in Youzhny winning a set and we can afford to have a small play on the Russian putting out the world number one.
Beverley’s finest Kyle Edmund is enhancing his reputation at Flushing Meadows and he can continue his run against John Isner. There won’t be many breaks on serve but Edmund’s huge forehand could be the difference here with the American not at his best so far.
I was a little surprised Grigor Dimitrov had so much difficulty with Jeremy Chardy in the previous round. Now he faces Joao Sousa who shocked the Bulgarian here three years ago and looks to be right on his game. The Portuguese player is a very fair price to win this one but it’s crashing all the time. When I started writing this he was 15-4 in a place!
Angelique Kerber survived a bit of a wobble against Mirjana Lucic-Baroni in round two but she should have few problems with American youngster Cici Bellis and she can win the first set comfortably.
I expect Dominika Cibulkova to be far too strong for Lesia Tsurenko despite a thigh scare during her win over Evgeniya Rodina. The Slovak’s power and athleticism is a potent mix on its day and she should win easily as she bids to return to the world’s top 10.
Karolina Pliskova is still showing signs of Slam fever, making relatively hard work of two inferior opponents so far. Now she faces Anastastia Pavlyuchenkova who showed admirable resolve to beat Kiki Mladenovic in the previous round and I thought the odds would be closer than this. Pliskova has won all three of their meetings fairly cosily but there is a real chance the pressure will get to her again here.