Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts – Friday 01:30, Sky Sports 1

NFL’s thanksgiving action will wrap up on Thursday night with a little history being made. Whereas the Lions and Cowboys play at home on this day every year, this will be the first time the Indianapolis Colts have ever hosted one, and after back to back wins the fans are sure to be in high spirits for the visit of the Pittsburgh Steelers.

A cracking game should be in store as these are traditionally two of the best teams in the AFC and both have two of the league’s top quarterbacks in Andrew Luck and Ben Roethlisberger. Both teams have however shown weaknesses this season and they share a modest 5-5 win/loss record.

The Colts are second in the AFC South while the Steelers are joint first in the AFC North, so a win is vital for both team’s playoff aspirations. With such good QBs on the field it’s easy to get lulled into expecting a high total points line and as a result the line can often be exaggerated. That looks to be the case here, so under 53.5 points will be our final pick for NFL Turkey day.

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Under 53.5 Points - 1pt @ 1.91