AFL Rd 17 Wrap & Brownlow Votes Predictions

Another brilliant round of footy saw some dramatic finishes and more upset results as the race for the top eight heats up.

Oddschecker
 | 
Sun, 14 Jul, 8:00 PM

The second installment of last year’s Grand Final rematch produced one of the games of the season as Collingwood travelled to Perth and upset the reigning premiers. The Magpies were coming off two shock losses to the Kangaroos and Hawks, while the Eagles with three straight wins had jumped them into 2nd on the ladder. The home side entered the contest with their best 22 available, a vastly different story to Collingwood who’s injury toll was mounting. A blistering opening term saw the teams each kick six goals and both lose key players in Jamie Cripps and Darcy Moore respectively as they suffered significant injuries, which left both teams with one less rotation for the remainder of the match. The second half was a much more dour affair with only five goals combined and a period of almost 45 minutes where the Magpies kept the Eagles scoreless. That dominance eventually led to Collingwood hitting the lead in the final term for the first time since the first quarter and eventually holding on for a famous one-point victory to the delight of Nathan Buckley. Skipper Scott Pendlebury also suffered a finger injury that will require surgery, souring the win, but did move them back to second on the ladder, percentage clear of both West Coast and Brisbane before a huge clash with the slumping Giants in Sydney next week.

 

Sydney needed to take care of business against Carlton if they were to keep their slim finals hopes alive. Having not lost to the Blues at home since 2011, the Swans went in short-priced favourites and confident of banking the four points. David Teague’s men had other ideas, virtually leading all day and recording a brilliant seven-point win, a win that could assure the club they avoid a third wooden spoon in the past five years. Sydney, on the other hand, will miss finals for the first time since 2009.

 

Hawthorn were aiming to win back-to-back matches for the first time all season when they hosted the slumping Dockers in Launceston. Despite a Nat Fyfe masterclass in the first half, the Hawks were always in control as they continued their dominant record in Tasmania as well as staying alive in the finals race. Hawthorn’s 7-9 record reads the same as Fremantle who have now dropped four games in a row to sit 13th, with both teams two games behind Essendon in 8th position. Hawthorn next face Geelong in a blockbuster Sunday afternoon clash, while the Dockers return home to face the Swans.

 

If you thought Friday night’s match was entertaining, what Essendon and North Melbourne served up under the roof on Saturday afternoon was equally as captivating. North Melbourne continued their momentum into the first half and looked the more likely team for the most part before the Bombers equalled the score heading into halftime. From there, the Bombers booted five goals to two to open up a game-high 19-point lead. The Roos doggedly fought back and thanks to Ben Brown’s 6th major, reclaimed the lead in the final term. The stage was set for a matchwinner and it was Anthony McDonald-Tipungwati who delivered, kicking his 4th goal of the day with a remarkable snap with just over 20 second of game time left on the clock. The win was Essendon’s 5th in their last six games and 3rd consecutive by 10 points or less to move them into the top eight for the first time this season. North Melbourne now sit eight points behind the Bombers and will likely need to win their remaining at least five of their six games to be a chance of September action.

 

On paper, the two Saturday night fixtures looked very one-sided and while one certainly turned out to be the case, the other was comfortable for the ladder leaders despite being headed in the second term. It was a sluggish start for the Cats against the Saints, especially coming off a loss but a dominant second half was enough to see them ease to a 27-point victory and maintain their two-game advantage on top of the AFL ladder. St Kilda lost their 4th straight game and look set for another bottom four finish under Alan Richardson, which will likely see the coach moved on at the end of the season and perhaps even before. For the second straight week, the Suns were diabolical, losing by 95-points to the Crows at a virtually empty Metricon Stadium. Adelaide did what they needed to do in response to their embarrassing Showdown performance and now head into a huge clash on Friday night against Essendon.

 

You sensed from the outset it could be a long day for the Giants and that feeling was compounded when their star midfielder Stephen Coniglio went down with a knee injury just four minutes into the match. He would not return and has been since ruled out for the remainder of the season, a brutal blow for Leon Cameron as his team slumped to a 4th defeat from their last five outings. He now joins captain Callan Ward, Josh Kelly, Johnathan Patton and Matt de Boer on a lengthy injury list. In contrast, Richmond’s is decreasing by the week as they regained Jack Riewoldt for his first match since Round 6 and continued their September march with a 3rd straight victory. As has been widely reported, there are eerily similarities between this season and their 2017 campaign, which saw them win the premiership as they seem to be hitting form at the right time of the year. The Tigers play their remaining six home and away matches at the MCG and look primed for a top four finish despite the adversity they faced earlier this season. The Giants on the other hand are in danger of missing the eight all together now after a top two finish looked on the cards. Both teams face Port Adelaide and Collingwood during the next fortnight, with many questions to be answered during those fixtures.

 

The Western Bulldogs were searching for three straight wins for the first time this season in a match which celebrated their 30-year anniversary since almost merging with Fitzroy. Their opponents Melbourne were up for the fight all day with no more than 15-points separating the sides throughout the day, but it was the Dogs who had more matchwinners on their side as they kept in touch with the top eight. Josh Dunkley was brilliant for the Dogs in a best on ground display in a match that his brother kicked his first career goal for Melbourne. The Bulldog’s finals credentials will be answered over the next fortnight with very winnable matches against St Kilda and Fremantle, both at Marvel Stadium to come.

 

A week after making a huge statement to the competition with an upset win over the Giants on the road, the Brisbane Lions were again brilliant from start to finish as they dominated Port Adelaide for a 4th consecutive victory. The Lions booted seven goals to two in the opening term and never looked back, keeping their lead above 30-points for the entire match. Gold Coast discard Jarryd Lyons was superb, as was Dayne Zorko who added three goals with his 24 disposals. The Power again proved their inconsistency and that they’re yet to be trusted, as they missed their chance to move back inside the top eight. They next face the in form Tigers at the MCG, while the Lions will seek a 5th straight win when they host North Melbourne at the Gabba.

 

Round 17: Brownlow Votes Predictions

     
West Coast v Collingwood  
3 B. Mihocek Coll
2 S. Pendlebury Coll
1 J. Cameron WC
     
Sydney v Carlton  
3 P. Cripps Carl
2 E. Curnow Carl
1 M. Kruezer Carl
     
Hawthorn v Fremantle  
3 J. Worpel Haw
2 N. Fyfe Frem
1 M. Lewis Haw
     
Essendon v North Melbourne  
3 A. McDonald-Tipungwati Ess
2 B. Brown NM
1 Z. Merrett Ess
     
Gold Coast v Adelaide  
3 W. Milera Adel
2 R. Atkins Adel
1 R. Laird Adel
     
Geelong v St Kilda  
3 P. Dangerfield Geel
2 M. Duncan Geel
1 R. Marshall St K
     
Richmond v GWS  
3 K. Lambert Rich
2 B. Houli Rich
1 S. Bolton Rich
     
Western Bulldogs v Melbourne  
3 J. Dunkley WB
2 L. Hunter WB
1 M. Gawn Melb
     
Port Adelaide v Brisbane  
3 J. Lyons Bris
2 D. Zorko Bris
1 C. Cameron Bris
     
Geelong v St Kilda  
3 P. Dangerfield Geel
2 M. Duncan Geel
1 R. Marshall St K
     
Richmond v GWS  
3 K. Lambert Rich
2 B. Houli Rich
1 S. Bolton Rich
     
Western Bulldogs v Melbourne  
3 J. Dunkley WB
2 L. Hunter WB
1 M. Gawn Melb
     
Port Adelaide v Brisbane  
3 J. Lyons Bris
2 D. Zorko Bris
1 C. Cameron Bris

Latest Brownlow Medal markets and prices

 

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