Blackbook Watch from the Makybe Diva Stakes Day
A stayer recapturing old form, a potential star filly and a mare in form; all with eyes on the big Spring features comprise this week’s horses to follow.
Music Bay – Flemington Race 2: 2nd ($9): This filly had a bit of a boom on her coming over from Adelaide in the smart hands of Phillip Stokes. It was easy to see why as soon as she stepped into the yard. Very focused and professional type. Traits which translate into her racing. Settling just off midfield she sustained a very solid mid-race squeeze when running the fastest 800-600m, 600-400m and 400-200m splits. Looked like she was going to challenge Smart Melody approaching the 200m, those sections just told late.
With that run under her belt she’ll come on nicely. Will find it tough to turn the tables on Smart Meldoy, however there’s all likelihood they won’t meet again next start. Could end up in the Scarbrough Stakes at Moonee Valley in two weeks’ time should the camp deem 1200m for the first time appropriate.
Possible Targets: G3 Scarbrough Stakes (1200m), Moonee Valley 28/09.
Jon Snow – Flemington Race 7: 3rd ($31): Back for his third Australian Campaign, leading New Zealand trainers Murray Baker and Andrew Forsman look to have this 5yo going as well as ever. His first-up performance over 1400m in NZ at Group 1 level was excellent for a stayer when 4th behind the smart Melody Belle. Now elevating his performance to 3rd in the G1 Makybe Diva over 1600m.
A super walker, he couldn’t have paraded in better order. Took up a typical forward position and kept on gamely on the inside section to only go down by 2.5L in the end. He’s far more forward than this time last year when he took out the G3 JRA Cup third-up over 2040m at Moonee Valley (looks an ideal race again) then placed third in a Caulfield Stakes.
Possible Targets: Caulfield Stakes (2000m), Caulfield Cup (2400m).
Maid of Heaven – Randwick Race 7: 5th ($19): After a recent set back that saw her return to the trials after her strong Canterbury win, this filly looks set up to run a big race in the Flight next start. Paraded far superior conditioning and fitness wise than prior to her Canterbury win. She only warmed up late in the piece when slicing through the field to rattle home in 11.23s for the final 200m. Winner Miss Fabulass recorded 11.09s for the same section.
Past the line Maid of Heaven was a clear second within a few strides, implying she’ll eat up the extra furlong in two weeks’ time. No doubt the winner will be very hard to beat again but at the odds we don’t believe you can look past this filly.
Possible Targets: Flight Stakes (1600m).
Jon Snow: $26 for the Caulfield Cup seems short enough at this stage. Fingers on the trigger for when JRA Cup markets open however.
Maid of Heaven: As low as $16 for the Flight Stakes at some places. The $26 with Sportsbet seems a steal and presents an excellent trading opportunity. Suggesting a strong play at those odds.