Horses to Follow from Australia Cup Weekend
A lightly-raced 6yo, a stayer who looks destined for victory back in grade, a 3yo who’s been savaging the line and a multiple Group 1 winner looking to add to her CV this Autumn comprise our horses to follow this week.
Antah – Flemington Race 2: 3rd ($5.50): After a three week freshen and dropping back to the 1400m off 3 1600m runs, the 6yo presented in great order. Got a little hot as per usual but stretched out beautifully in the parade. Held his quote all the way through betting. In a race completely dominated by the two runners on speed, he was huge from 2nd and 3rd last
He presented like the winner into the straight, still under a grip when the eventual quinella had the whips cracking. Unfortunately, he failed to find the sprint required to reel in a smart quinella (Simply Invincible/Grey worm) and just doured out over the final furlong after running two sub-11-second splits between the 600-400 and 400-200m. This was always the query when stepping back from 1600m. After sustaining a long preparation, he could be out to the paddock. Should he keep going we believe another victory over the 1600m in benchmark grade is ripe for the picking.
Possible Targets: BM84 over 1600m.
Sikandarabad – Flemington Race 8: 7th ($31): Huge run from this gelding right up in grade at Weight For Age. Settling at the rear of the field he presented as if he was going to be right in the finish but was yet another who was just grinding to the line late as those with the superior turn of foot and position in run got a break.
He recorded the race fastest splits from the 1000-800m, 800-600m and 600-400m with the latter two splits in sub-11-seconds. After two successive brilliant performances over 2000m, the step up to 2400m looks ideal. Looks an ideal candidate for the Mornington or Bendigo Cup.
Possible Targets: Mornington Cup (2400m, 23/03).
Trope – Randwick Race 2: 2nd ($10): Looks a very progressive 3yo. Of the late coming crop, he’s one of the best looking 3yo’s we’ve seen present. Covers a stack of ground when he walks and has a very powerful motor built-in. It’s not only us who like him either as he was the subject of sustained support: $15 into $10.
The money and yard observations were spot on as he powered home from the back in the breathtaking time of 10.41s for his final 200m and 32.15s for his final 600m and that was after covering 4.4m more than the winner Prohet’s Thumb who got a charmed run along the fence. Yes, he got the hot tempo, but he struggled to tack onto the field early which only hindered his chances. A more reasonable gallop early will only help this powerful type settle and eat up 1200m.
Possible Targets: $15 for the Arrowfield 3yo Sprint (1200m 13/04).
Shoals – Randwick Race 7: 3rd ($5): Excellent return from the 3-time Group 1 winning mare. The punters expected as much with her being crunched from her opening quote of $8 into $5 come jump despite missing a run in the Oakleigh Plate due to a bad blood reading two weeks ago.
If her quality jump-outs didn’t convince you she was over any niggle, this run certainly should. After settling closer than normal, she savaged the line in less than 33s for her final 200m (and 10.68s for her final 200m). She’s racing like she wants 1400m-1600m this time in. Coupling this with her affinity for soft tracks and we’re confident she’s in for a big Autumn in Sydney.
Trope: $15 looks a huge price. How far would he have been past Prophet’s Thumb with another 100m? With genuine queries if the top runners in the market will line-up in a Group 2 event given Stallion aspirations, we’re suggesting a strong bet at the current odds.
Shoals: $11 for the Coolmore Legacy seems a nice price. Racing like she will go onto 1600m this prep we can see the Freedman camp pulling this rein. She’d walk past Nettoyer and Alassio who are currently both $11 in this market. Suggesting something on in this market.