Autumn Watch - Horses to follow from Golden Slipper weekend

A consistent filly on the rise after getting black type, an ex-Weir mare who showed she’s still got it and a 2yo with a big future etch their names into our black book this week.

Jack Zuber
Sun, 24 Mar, 8:00 PM

Arctic Shock – Moonee Valley Race 6: 3rd ($19): Stepping up to Group 3 grade at only her 5th start as a 62 rater this daughter of Shocking massively out-performed her $19 starting price eventually running into third. In the wake of her gap job at Pakenham, she paraded right at her top fitness-wise in typically feisty fashion.

Melham took her back off a good speed set-up by Symi. She looked the winner as Melham slid up behind Angelic Ruler still not asking the filly to let down. Unfortunately for her supporters, Oliver on the winner Princess Jenny shut the door forcing Melham back inside, losing momentum at a critical stage.

Still in her first preparation, she’ll be teetering on the edge of being over the top but parades as if she has another win left before coming back in the Spring as a furnished mare, possibly getting over more of a trip on her breeding.

Record: 5:1-2-2

Possible Targets: 3yo Fillies and Mares BM70 over 1600m (Nominated 27/03 Sandown).

Kenedna – Moonee Valley Race 8: 3rd ($21): Simply a huge effort by this mare. Was taken back to last in a race run to suit those up front given she was the only horse to run in the top 5 that didn’t settle in the first 5. Allen picked his way through the field along the rails nicely and allowed this mare to absolutely savage the line in race fastest final 800,600,400 and 200m sections including a 22.92s final 400 and 11.50s final 200 (both the 7th fastest such sections of the meeting).

She was lengths in front of them a few strides after the post. This explosion of speed second-up for her new stable was undoubtedly due to the application of the blinkers. She may have booked herself a trip up to Sydney on the back of the performance and given her only start on rain-affected ground was a Group 2 win she should be very competitive.

Record: 23:7-3-4

Possible Targets: Queen Elizabeth 2000m or Coolmore Legacy 1500m (Both Randwick 13/04).

Loving Gabby – Rosehill Race 7: 4th ($17): Another huge performance by a huge filly. She’s an imposing 2yo that’s already built like she’s 3, very reminiscent of 2017 Blue Diamond winner Catchy to look at. Oisin Murphy elected to try and roll forward from the outside gate and was unfortunately left cast 4 deep no cover the trip as many on-pacers all tried to get more conservative runs.

The torrid run looked to have told coming into the straight as she was under heavy riding turning. However, she kept batting away as some others around her were weakening and ate into the margin late to get within 2L on the line. What was particularly impressive was how she responded when challenged by Lyre, seemed to find again. If she happens to (somehow) strike a dry track she’ll be the one to beat in the later 2yo races with a big watch on her come Spring.

Record: 3:1-0-0

Possible Targets: Sires’ Produce Stakes (Randwick 1400m 06/04), Champagne Stakes (Randwick 1600m 20/04).

Suggested Bets:

Kenedna: Big odds for the Queen Elizabeth ($101) and the Coolmore Legacy ($51) on the same day. Likely to go to the latter – could have something very small on her in that market at odds.

Loving Gabby: $8 for the Sires’ and the Champagne. Having handled the heavy we believe these odds are worth taking to build yourself a book.

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