Horses to follow from Kingsford Smith Cup weekend
A mid-week maiden winner, a stayer from a hot stable, and two resurgent mares through the same race round out our this week’s horses to follow.
Cat Raider – Ballarat Race 3: 1st ($11): After running last in both of his first two career starts a starting price of $11 could have been considered under the odds for this son of Rebel Raider. However, he was given less than no chance first-up this preparation on the synthetic and went through the line quite well given the circumstances.
Stepping up from the 1200m to 1400m second-up he certainly showed improvement. Sitting three wide no cover outside the leader he travelled like the winner on the turn and shot away to win by 2.5 lengths not fully tested. Given this race was run over a second slower than the BM70 on the day and he finished up over $15 on the tote, there’s a good chance plenty will look past this galloper next start, but we’ll certainly be keeping him on our side.
Possible Targets: Class 1 over 1400m.
Stealthy Lucas – Flemington Race 6: 3rd ($17): Another runner from the Preusker yard to add to your black book – they’re unstoppable at present. This relatively lightly-raced 4yo certainly looks to be on the cusp of a metropolitan win this campaign after a luckless third at Flemington last weekend.
In a race D. Holland would rather forget he dragged this galloper out of it early from the wide gate and was left flat-footed behind two runners going backwards whilst the eventual winner kept him pocketed from the outside. The Lucas Cranach gelding eventually warmed up down the outside to grab third behind two progressive gallopers. He came into this with 3 weeks off 1300m up to 1800m and should derive enormous benefit from the run, not expecting $17 next start.
Possible Targets: BM84 over 1800m (Flemington, 08/06).
Ellie’s Encore – Randwick Race 9: 4th ($21): Was travelling well earlier this preparation, running well in a high-rating Newcastle heat of the provincial championships before the stable probably went a bridge too far backing her up into the Wyong heat where she failed. She’s had a short freshen since and looks to have come back in superb order.
From barrier 13 R. King seemed content to sit wide no cover over the 1000m rather than trying to drop in and risk losing momentum. Despite the tough run, she was right there in the finish, actually hitting the post third only to be relegated to fourth on what was a marginal protest at best. Getting out to 1100m next start with a softer draw should see her returning to good form. Stage of preparation no issue as she’s handled it previously.
Possible Targets: BM78 over 1100m.
Taniko – Randwick Race 9: 5th ($8): Another out of the final race of the day – not that it was a particularly high-rating race; only run 0.33s faster than the Highway and over the specialist 1000m distance range. This 4yo mare looks to have come back a far more furnished product, ready to produce fresh.
Although her previous metropolitan form is inconsistent, she carries a commendable SP-profile through her career. Drawing 16 in the massive field she was completely taken out of play over the 1000m, spotting the leaders some 15L mid-race. In typical Collett fashion, she was taken back to the inside and found gaps late to savage the line under hands and heels only, right with the winners past the post. Will be hard to beat with a softer draw second-up over a touch further.
Record: 12:4-1-0Possible Targets: F&M BM78 over 1200m (Randwick, 08/06).