NFL Betting Tips | Niks Picks Week 14
Nik Hatzi went 2-2 last week. But he was only two plays away from a 4-0 performance!
After an incredible run, only losing 1 play of 10, last week brought us back down to earth with a 2-2 week. Unfortunately we were within a FG in one of the losses and a redzone pick in the other. So close yet so far. As we look forward to Week 14 in the NFL there’s a number of games that would have you scratching your head, and fair play to you.
These are the games that stand out in Week 14.
Seattle Seahawks @ Green Bay Packers
I’m the first bloke to put my hand up and say I am not completely convinced with this recent resurgence in the Green Bay Packers. I think they’ve been gifted a couple of wins against teams in less than favorable spots. Regardless, the Packers did it in a convincing fashion.
Lets have a look over to the Seahawks. Blowing out Carolina…. Impressive… kinda. We called it last week. Seattle would roll the Panthers because the organization has given up. What did we see? We saw an organisation that gave up. Lets not overvalue that win. Seattle off that monster win may be a bit overconfident.
On top of that, the team has all but sewn up the division so there wont be much motivation to put in that 110% effort.
Seattle has further lost it talismanic leader in the defence Earl Thomas Jr. He’s a big loss. Last time Seattle played away from home they faltered to the Buccaneers scoring a measly 5 points. Seattle is not the same team away from home without the 12’s (Seattle fan base) behind them.
Green Bay on the other hand know they have to keep the wins coming if they want to compete with the upstart Lions and Vikings for the division’s playoff position. Rodgers 19 TD’s to 3 INT’s is showing that he is playing at that all-star caliber level even if his team isn’t helping. The magic of Lambeau field should perk up the Packers and see them handle this Seattle team at home.
Denver Broncos @ Tennessee Titans
Denver does deserve a little respect but they are in all sorts at the moment. Siemian, the starting quarterback was already below average to begin with and is nursing a foot injury likely to keep him out of this contest. Lynch is the next in line and in his appearances this year he’s been an absolute dumpster fire. In his defence he is a rookie with limited playing time so expectation aren’t too high. Regardless, the Quarterback position is the most important position in all of sports.
Denver has New England next week and will likely have one eye on that game, potentially overlooking the Titans.
Denver ranks 27th against the rush and Tennessee’s identity is built on rushing Murray, Henry and a pinch of Mariota to run opposing defences ragged.
If Tennessee can keep their game plan simple, play to their strengths and keep a sub par Denver quarterback (whoever starts will fit the bill) quiet, they’ll be in good stead to get the win in this one.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Buffalo Bills
This is the Bills season right here. They somehow managed to blow a substantial lead against the Oakland Raiders last week to get blown out by 14. This week they come up against a Steelers outfit that beat an overrated Giants team last week. Before that, Pittsburgh beat the Browns and a Tolzien-led Colts line up. The only other away game than the previous two games mentioned the Steelers won was in round 1!
Pittsburgh will still be in the finals hunt with or without a win in this one. The Steelers are an absolute letdown when they’re expected to win. Gileslee is helping out McCoy in the running game and Watkins has come back pretty healthy. I think this is that game where the Bills turn it up in an attempt to save their season whereas Pittsburgh recent slate of simple opponents comes back to bite them in the ass.
Money keeps pouring in on the Steelers and in the Steel City I’d be inclined to back them. Pittsburgh sits in a very exclusive group of teams for me, which include Arizona among others who I just don’t want my hard earned cash on when they aren’t at home.
Give me the Bills to upset the Steelers outright
Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots
Baltimore perennially plays the Patriots tough. The two squads have had countless classic encounters.
Baltimore boasts the league’s best rush defence. This will be vital as this week New England need to lean on the run game more given that Gronkowski and Amendola will be out for this one. Brady and Bennett haven’t been connecting as well and as often as Patriots fan would like to see. Without Gronk, New England’s points scored per game dip from 31 to 26.5. That’s a big drop in points and production, which should seem even more appealing with a 7-point line.
The road team in this matchup has covered 6 of the last 7 games with one push.
With Oakland stumbling at Kansas City this week the race for the pinnacle of the AFC just got Easier for the Patriots. Given that they’re nursing a number of injuries and could potential face the Ravens in the finals, I don’t see the Patriots coming out with the necessary hunger to cover a 7 point line against a quality Baltimore team.