Our 2-1-1 last week, very easily could’ve been 4-0! As we look to continue finding value in these NFL games, lets get into the plays.Nik Hatzi
I don’t know about you guys but I actually have a soft spot for San Diego. Phillip Rivers is a good old-fashioned gunslinger and the Chargers are a great team when put in an underdog role. Not this time though. This squad has been absolutely decimated by key injuries. Forget the injuries they accrued before the last game, now Melvin Gordon and Joey Bosa, their star running back and Defensive end are out. Gordon was half the offence, and Bosa was half the defence.
Oakland is already great on the road, and after losing to Kansas City in prime time last week, will be looking to come out and make a statement. Carr’s finger was banged up and he’s now had another week to get used to it and the glove.
Away team is 15-2 against the spread in Oakland games. San Diego has mailed it in this season. They single handedly threw the game away against the Panthers last week, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see them do it again here. The line has come down in this one, which just offers even more value.
Tampa Bay have come from absolutely nowhere to becoming one of the hottest teams in the league. 5 wins on the trot has them firmly in playoff contention. Jameis Winston and co.
At this late stage of the season Dak Prescott has started to regress slightly in terms of his performance. Teams are getting some film on the young 4th round pick and his play is becoming all the more predictable. The young Pro-Bowl rookies are seeing.
Dallas still has that premier offensive line but I don’t see them having the horses to really pull away from a red-hot Tampa Bay in this one. Dallas haven’t been tremendously successful at home covering 11 of 37 and this could be a situation where 7 points is just too many for ‘dem Boys to be laying. Tampa Bay is 5-1 on the road.
I don’t usually play totals but every now and then there are totals or games which stick out like a sore thumb.
This is simple arithmetic in my opinion. New York v the Dallas defence last week mustered up little to no offence other than a brilliant OBJ touchdown. Detroit, after Stafford banged his finger also created little to no offence. Their winning field goal came off penalties and running the ball. Both of which cannot be relied upon consistently with this team.
With an injured Stafford and an Eli Manning who’s throws have been abysmal this season I don’t see many points being put up in this one. My one concern will have to be the defensive touchdowns. Both teams are capable, but with both eyeing playoff spots, I expect a cagey approach from the offense in order to not lose the game rather than try to win.
Sometimes you just see some lines and think, that could come down to the wire, and then you also think, yeah but that’s a winner. This is what we have here. Baltimore hosts the Eagles and Green Bay travel to Chicago. Both Baltimore and Green Bay should be the goods heads up.
Baltimore will be looking to bounce back after their loss to New England last week in prime time. Baltimore is 15-2 straight up after a loss by a touchdown or more. The Eagles have been poor on the road and I look for those struggles to continue against the manpower Baltimore has on defence.
The Packers travel to Chicago in what is said to be one of the coldest NFL games on record to date. If that were the case, I’d rather be taking a guy called Aaron Rodgers whose home ground is known as the Frozen Tundra over a rookie playing his third game, coming out of a college on the sunny West Coast. Matt Barkley for the Bears is a serviceable quarterback but that cold is going to slap him back to the ice age. Oh, and did I mention the Bears have only covered 8 of their last 33 home games whilst Green Bay has covered 19 of its last 23 in Chicago?
Baltimore don’t usually blow teams out and Rodgers is carrying a calf injury as well as I don’t see the Packers having much motivation for this one. What I do know is that both teams will do enough to win.