NFL Value Bets – Season Win Totals

Before each season, the linemakers set each team’s projected win total. Sometimes the oddsmakers don’t factor everything into the equation. We’ve picked out three solid value plays on teams’ season win totals.

Wed, 6 Sep, 1:59 AM


Tennessee Titans

The Titans come into this season shouldering big expectations. Mariota and his smash mouth offense tallied 9 wins last season. This is a number they should be aiming for at a minimum this time round.


Bad division

Jacksonville is rubbish and about to sack both their starting quarterbacks


Indianapolis has a horrible offensive line, sub-par defensive play and their only good piece [Andrew Luck] is constantly injured and likely to already be set to miss the first 3 games.


Houston’s offense lets them down here. No Quarterback play leading to one-dimensional attack. Hurricane Harvey will also serve to be a huge distraction especially early in the season


Plugging gaps

Tennessee’s only gaping holes last year were their defensive backs. The Titans have recruited wisely to plug these holes. Will be much better for it.


Overall, the division has gotten worse and the Titans have gotten better. They also play in the AFC which is much less competitive than the NFC.


Best Bet: Tennessee Titans Over 8.5


Philadelphia Eagles

I’m guessing the Eagles are going to surprise people this year, in a good way.



One of the best offensive lines in football.

Believe it or not, but it was these Philadelphia Eagles who have the best offensive line in football. Pro football focus is rarely wrong with these things and this combination of health and a soli running game will be the foundation of a very sustainable squad.


Look for Lane Johnson and Jason Peters to give Wentz a chance to succeed. The Eagles weakest link on the offensive line is Travis Kelce… and he made it to the probowl.


Division has been weakened

Dallas has gotten worse with the suspension to Ezekiel Elliot. The Cowboys also played with a very vanilla offense. The offseason would have prepared teams for what the Cowboys have thrown at them.


Washington has gotten worse in defence and always seems to have their key weapons injured. Oh and Cousins’ favourite target Desean Jackson was let go.


Wentz is the real deal

There are some rookie quarterbacks [like Jarrod Goff] that you look at and think, this kid will never make it. Then you look at others [like Dak Prescott] and think wow, this kid has what it takes. Wentz is more like Dak. He has a calm pocket presence and will be all the better from last year’s trying yet overall successful season.


Best Bet: Philadelphia Eagles Over 8.5


Denver broncos

Sell your Broncos stock now people. This team needs to have the best Defence in football to at least crack 8 wins. That’s a tough ask in a division that’s improved and talent positions that have at best stayed the same.


Division strengthened

The Broncos got to 9 wins last year. This was on the back of the Chargers incurring a tonne of injuries. Teams will now be able to recognise that they just need to play safe football against the Broncos because they struggle to move the ball.


Quarterback problems

The Broncos have had problems at quarterback when Manning’s health began to decline. Since his departure they’ve trialled Paxton Lynch and Trevor Siemian, both of whom have shown a real lack of top tier pedigree at the position.


Lynch is rumoured to be a complete bust and Siemian seemed to have won by default until…. The Broncos brought back Brock Osweiler. Anytime signing Osweiler at this juncture of the season clearly has absolutely zero faith in their current quarterbacks.


Best Bet: Denver Broncos Under 8.5



By Nik Hatzi

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