NFL Week 3 – What we learned
A glance around the NFL, taking a look at what we were able to learn from the week 3 slate.
NFL coaching crops are healthy
Thursday night football (Friday morning for us Aussies) was tipped to be the biggest snooze fest since Mayweather Pacquiao or the story your Nan told you about Coles dropping their price on full cream milk.
Talk to me any earlier than 11am on Friday and I would have shared that sentiment. The Rams and 49ers treated spectators to one of the most exciting offensive shootouts seen in the last decade of NFL football.
The game finished 41-39 which is made even more incredible when you realise how offensively inept these teams have been over the last 3 seasons.
What we can take from this game is that these coaches have the moxy to chance their hand and put their teams in positions to have a real go at games in the future. Both franchises are in good stead with Sean McVay and Kyle Shanahan increasing the offensive dimensions of the Rams and 49ers respectively.
What to do with this info? The Rams and 49ers are no longer dead nuts under teams, be careful when betting totals in their games.
Belichick has to earn his cheques
The Patriots are in a sorry state of affairs when compared to the preseason prognostications.
The Patriots were tipped to win 13 games this season and only just beat the rookie led Houston Texans with a touchdown in the final minute of the game. Once upon a time these Patriots would’ve eaten a quarterback like Watson for breakfast.
Bill Belichick needs to work overtime on this defence. As Brady is declining due to his age, the defence needs to be better to compliment him. Belichick may need to look into trading for additional pieces given Brady’s expiring clock and potentially his own.
What to do with this info? The Patriots will continue to get large lines (6+). There will be value looking to bet Patriots 1-10 in the next 4 weeks.
Chi-Town playing great ball
The Pittsburgh Steelers were widely regarded as the best team in the competition after beating the Browns and Bradford-less Vikings.
The Bears were one of Oddschecker’s plays of the round. They played competitively against the Falcons in week 1 and even after gifting the Bucs the game last week, in the stats were extremely similar.
The Bears played their historic brand of hardnosed football and managed to dethrone the Steelers from the NFL’s list of undefeated teams.
Next week, the Bears will likely be overvalued given this upset, however moving forward, look for the public to fade the Bears giving them extra line value to cover.
What to do with this info? Likely don’t back the Bears next week. Moving forward however there could be value when they’re catching points.
By Nik Hatzi