NFL – Week 5 Best Bets
Each week we pick out the three best bets from the NFL slate. Current record: 9-3
Week 5 could not come soon enough! We’re coming off the back of a 2-1 week bringing our overall record to 9-3! A whopper 75% win rate over here is happy profitable days all round. Now there are a handful of games that have lines moving in our direction so it’s important to jump on these early
Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams
We’ve all seen how offensively in sync the Rams are. No reason why they can’t continue that run. The Rams total last week went from 46 to 50.5 in most places. This is a play you need to tail ASAP if you want to follow.
The total has risen from 46 to 47.5 but even at this number the play is still good. The Rams are humming and that defence will restrict Seattle’s run game. Remember, a heavy run game causes the clock to churn, which is not what Seattle will be leaning on in this one. Wilson will be forced to throw into this Rams secondary. Therefore, it will either lead to good gains, stopped clocks or turnovers.
With the likes of Wilson, Baldwin, Gurley, Goff, McVay and Watkins being involved in this one, we’re happy to see this total sail over the number.
Seahawks Defensive End Cliff Avril is out for this one, which will help the Rams offence in making yards and opening up the pass game.
Best Bet: Seattle Seahawks / LA Rams Over 47
Baltimore Ravens @ Oakland Raiders
Looking at this game it’s really hard to see where any points will come from. The Ravens have looked extremely lacklustre on the offensive end. Their running game is average, and the passing game with Flacco leading is just not good enough. Pittsburgh doesn’t have the best defence and even then they only mustered 9 points.
The Raiders are an offensive juggernaut… when Derek Carr is under centre. Derek Carr is out of this game and I do see the Raiders struggling. The total has come down from 40 to 39 and likely won’t go higher so this is another total to take now if you want to tail.
Best Bet: Baltimore Ravens / Oakland Raiders Un 39
Green Bay Packers @ Dallas Cowboys
This is a game where perceptions dictate the way the game is bet. The Public loves Aaron Rodgers and after their big win against the Bears and their earlier big win over Seattle, who wouldn’t love Aaron?
This is not the game to blindly bet Green Bay. The Packers on the road have been average. Their only away game led to them being ambushed by the Falcons. If Green Bay is subpar in this one, they’ll miss the opportunity to exploit Dallas’ secondary.
Green Bay also has a lengthy injury list. Both their key strike weapons of Montgomery and Adams couldn’t finish the last game however all Green Bay’s injured players could play. I severely doubt their effectiveness though.
The Bears matched Green Bay in almost all statistical categories last week. If it weren’t for the four turnovers, that result could’ve been a lot different.
Of all the bets placed, 77% have been on Green Bay. With Dallas catching the Packers away from Lambeau, I see them surprising a lot of punters this week.
Best Bet: Dallas -2
By Nik Hatzi