We told you we would bounce back from our first losing week (week 5) and bounce back we did. Another profitable week making that 5 of 6 weeks in the green this NFL season. Now to unleash 5 picks from the Week 7 NFL slate.
New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins
This is a game that isn’t the most appealing from a fan perspective but definitely holds value from a betting perspective.
The Dolphins are finally back to a normal travel schedule which impacted them significantly in the opening rounds of the season. The Dolphins were on form last week with a major resurgence in the second half scoring 20 unanswered in Atlanta to beat the Falcons.
The Jets are prime for a let down here after having a dubious refereeing decision take away a potential victory against the Patriots.
The Jets will be flat while the Dolphins will ride momentum from last week and squeak out a win by at least a field goal.
Best Bet: Miami Dolphins -3
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers
This is a game where we disagree with the bookies rating of the Chargers. Having the Chargers as a home favourite is not something that I’m comfortable with. The Chargers this season have had less support at home than on the road.
With that said, the Broncos are looking to avenge that embarrassing primetime loss to the Giants and the Chargers have been bad at handling prosperity.
The road team in Chargers games are 6-0 ATS. This will continue on Monday.
Best Bet: Denver Broncos +1.5
New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers
The public is in love with the Saints right now! Why wouldn’t they. They’re playing well on offense, relatively good on defence and come up against an Aaron Rodgers-less Green Bay Packers outfit.
Sometimes in the NFL you need to play the number and before the Rodgers injury the Packers were -6. The line swung to +6. There is too much value with Green Bay at home to pass up. The Saints defence hasn’t played healthy or good quarterbacks recently and may be a little overrated.
Hold your breath for this best bet as we ride the Packers at home.
Best Bet: Green Bay Packers +5
Carolina Panthers @ Chicago Bears
Carolina has been a points machine. Their opening rounds great defence has been missing the last couple. Cam Newton is working well enough in this offence barring last week. He has weapons on the outside and their defence all of a sudden has gone missing through poor form and injuries.
The Bears at the moment are playing some expansive football. Trubisky is a legit young quarterback and Coach Fox has not been shy of throwing the ball down field.
The total in this game is very, very low at 40. I’m expecting this game to be entertaining as anything and should get over 40 even if it’s ugly.
Best Bet: Carolina Panthers / Chicago Bears Over 40
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers offense has been underperforming and Big Ben has been extremely disappointing. Word is out on the Steelers that they have a very, very simple offense. Opposing teams playing the Steelers are able to game plan for them quite easily.
Cincinnati’s defence in recent weeks has been great. In the last 2 games they’ve conceded 24 points and have a bye to game plan for this already predictable Steelers offense.
This divisional matchup will be cagey and have its fair share of field goals.
Best Bet: Cincinnati Bengals / Pittsburgh Steelers Under 40.5
By Nik Hatzi