New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons
This is a big divisional match between two rivals that have play-off aspirations. The Saints lead the division with a 9-3 record while Atlanta are 7-5 and third behind the Panthers. In their last 10 games the Saints have covered the points handicap eight times but they lost their last road trip at the Rams and the Falcons have a great record in night games, covering the spread nine times in the last 11. Moreover, they’ve won four of the six meetings between the teams since 2014, in what tend to be close contests, and so we’ll back the home side and go with Atlanta +1.5 on the spread
Best Bet: Atlanta Falcons (+1.5)
Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs
Another big game between two rivals with play-off chances as both teams come into this with identical 6-6 records. However, the Chiefs have lost six of their last seven games after last week’s defeat to the New York Jets, whereas the Raiders beat the other New York franchise, the Giants, to stretch their run to three victories in their last four. Their defeat in that time was against the Patriots but they’re doing a good job beating the lesser sides right now.
Oakland QB Derek Carr doesn’t have a great record in Kansas but we think he can turn that around here given the respective form of both sides. The Raiders on the spread looks the best way to go
Best Bet: Oakland Raiders (+4.5)
Seattle Seahawks @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Both these teams have 8-4 records to their name and enter this clash off the back of home wins last week. The Jaguars beat a struggling Colts side though, and this looks a much tougher assignment, so it’s a surprise to see them as short as they are.
The Seahawks are having to deal with a couple of injuries on defence, but it hasn’t stopped them from winning seven of their last nine, including all four away matches in this run, one of which was at the high-flying Rams.
Best Bet: Seahawks to Win
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
The much-lauded Ravens defence took a back seat to its offense last week when they scored 44 points against the Lions for their third straight win.
The Steelers won their seventh game in a row in Cincinnati but five of those wins have been by less than six points. The Ravens get five points on the spread here and since the start of 2011 they’ve covered that in six of seven trips to Heinz Field, so that’s our pick in a clash between to in-form rivals
Best Bet: Baltimore Ravens (+5.0)
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins – Tuesday 01:30
The Patriots will be without star tight end Rob Gronkowski due to suspension after he inexplicably almost assaulted someone who was lying on the ground in last week’s win over the Buffalo Bills. While this will hinder the Pats, we don’t think it will stop them clinching the division with victory over Miami here.
These two met in Boston just three weeks ago were the Dolphins went down by 18 points, but we expect them to put up a better fight now back on home soil. With no Gronkowski for New England, we think can stay within the 11 point spread, as they’ve done in five of their six home games this season.
Best Bet: Miami Dolphins (+11.0)