The Final of the NCAAF season pits the Notorious Alabama Crimson Tide against their rivals, the Georgia Bulldogs. Alabama will be looking to atone for their missed opportunity last year, whilst the Bulldogs last appearance in this match was some 35 years ago. Alabama have used their traditional smash mouth style to get them this far, a heavy reliance on the trenches and a stout defence.
Georgia’s head coach Kirby Smart was a coordinator with Alabama and has brought that same style with a heavy reliance on the run game.
ALABAMA allows 2.7 yards per rush – The best in the NCAAF
GEORGIA runs the ball 67% of the time on offence
Alabama needs to travel an extra 70 Miles for the game in Atlanta
Nick Saban (coach of Alabama) 11-0 SU against his former assistants – Average margin of victory, 29 points
Alabama playing in games with totals under 50, Alabama are 45-19 ATS
OVER is 5-1 the last time these teams have played
This should be a grueling defensive battle. Whenever that type of game happens, Alabama are the side you want to be on. Nick Saban has a knack of dominating in gritty low scoring games, which I believe we’ll see with this one. Bama’s record is 45-19 in these games.
Similarly, Nick Saban against his former assistant is 11-0, 9-2 ATS with an average margin of victory of 29 points. Kirby Smart will have his work cut out for him here as he tries to pull one over his former mentor.
It’s important to note that Alabama have few holes if any, but a glaring concern for them will be their injured Line Backing corps. Anfernee Jennings, their best at the position may be joining Hamilton and Moses on the sideline leaving a huge gap in the middle of their defence.
Both teams rely so heavily on the run so why look elsewhere? Georgia has become a mini-Bama focusing on defence and rushing. We know Bama has mastered this style and the clock should continuously move.
The public might see Georgia’s result against Oklahoma in such a high scoring game and be thinking lets get on the overs. Not so fast, Georgia’s head coach K. Smart is smart enough (pun intended) to change his game plan against a completely different style of opponent.
The quarterbacks on both team’s are not known for their passing prowess, Hurts and Fromm can keep drive’s alive when needed. This is only going to help an under ticket when the clock continues to move.
Handicap: Alabama -4.5
Total: Under 45 points