NFL – Conference Finals Best Bets

Anonymous
 | 
Thu, 18 Jan, 3:00 PM

Jacksonville @ New England

3 KEY STATS

1. Jacksonville is the No.2 Scoring defence (16.8 ppg) & No.1 passing defence (169.9 ypg)

2. The Jaguars are 10-0 when Blake Bortles doesn't throw an interception

3. Since 2000, the Patriots are 18-3 in the playoffs at home 85.7% win

 

PREVIEW

The Jaguars are the darlings of the NFL playoffs this season. Everybody wrote them off and now they're facing New England in the AFC Championship game. Jacksonville is legit. We now know this and should apologise.

 

The New England Patriots should be fixtures in the AFC Playoff considering how often we find them here.

 

The Jaguars are no doubt capable of hampering New England's offense with the big men at the front. Calais Campbell and Yannick Ngakoue, the Jaguars' big men up front, are more than capable of making Brady's life a nightmare. They combined for 26.5 sacks this season.

 

The Patriots however are capable of taking away a team's best weapon. Safe to say that is not Bortles. New England will put their No.2 Rush defence on the line as they aim to stop Leonard Fournette. If the game is solely placed in Bortles' hands, the game could get ugly, quick.

 

The line is fishy as anything. The Jaguars played a distracted Steelers team and Bortles being 5/5 in the red zone is an aberration. I expect the odds makers know something we might not and for that the choice is clear.

 

KEY TO VICTORY

Both teams share the same key to victory. DON'T TURN IT OVER! Bortles gifting the ball would be suicide. Whilst Brady letting the Jags defence take the ball away would put New England in a hole even they couldn't get out of.

 

BEST BETS

Total: Jacksonville / New England Under 46.5

Side: New England Patriots -9

Minnesota @ Philadelphia

KEY STATS

Both starting quarterbacks, Keenum & Foles played for the LA Rams last season

Minnesota led the NFL by allowing 15.8ppg throughout the regular season

No team has ever played and hosted a Super Bowl in their stadium, Minnesota has the chance to be the first.

 

PREVIEW

This game pits two perennial backup quarterbacks against each for the right to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl.

 

The Vikings defence has led the way, limiting opponents to a paltry 40% on 3rd down conversion during the regular season. The Vikings overcame losing their starting quarterback and running back in Sam Bradford and Dalvin Cook by relying on Case Keenum and the McKinnon/Murray combination.

 

After losing Wentz, many thought the Eagles were done for this season. Foles has done a serviceable job filling in, with some less than ideal performances almost costing them, but he's done just enough and not capitulated when down.

 

KEY TO VICTORY

Both these teams are built from the defence. These squads are riddled with big impact studs that can change games in a single play. Linval Joseph, Fletcher Cox, Sendejo are all game changers. The defence that can force the most punts and make play will allow their quarterback to manage their team to victory.

 

BEST BETS

Total: Minnesota / Philadelphia Under 38.5

Side: Minnesota -3

Upcoming Tips

Betting Offers

Bonus Bets
Featured Bookies
All Betting Offers
Any advertised Bonus Bet offers are for new accounts only. Excludes NSW, VIC, WA & VIC. Other terms apply. Gamble responsibly

Related Tips

Jeff Reinebold's NFL Week 15 Betting Tips & Preview

Jeff Reinebold looks at some Saturday games before previewing a classic divisional rivalry.
Jeff Reinebold
Read Article

NFL Week 14 Betting Tips & Preview

Jeff Reinebold previews three big Monday games, and has picked two home teams and one road team!
Jeff Reinebold
Read Article

Jeff Reinebold's NFL Week 13 Betting Tips & Preview

Oddschecker's NFL Ambassador brings you three more picks and talks about why offence is king in today's league.
Jeff Reinebold
Read Article