NFL Week 11 Tips & Betting Preview
Oddschecker's NFL Ambassador gives three in-depth game previews and three picks, including the Chiefs @ Rams.
Indianapolis Colts v Tennessee Titans
What’s up everyone, great to be talking to you as always. We’ve got more great games coming up and it’s getting towards ‘Crunch Time’, where the best teams make statements and the also-rans fade away.
Firstly, I want to look at a game that is going under the radar a little bit. The Titans and Colts are both coming off good wins and this should be a real pick ‘em game, with both rosters on a high, and looking to make a run.
The Colts are 4-5 but have won three in a row and are looking so much better now that Andrew Luck is being protected. He hasn’t been sacked since Week 8: That is an unbelievable stat when you consider how much Luck was getting hit previously.
It’s not just the Andrew Luck show too, they have a running game to fall back on, and they have a defence that can make plays. In Quenton Nelson, they have a special, special talent.
On the Titans side, they got a great win against New England last week and Mike Vrabel is having his own reputation grow by the day. He’s taking to the Head Coach role like a duck to water, you’ve got to remember he was only an NFL coordinator for one season.
He’s not afraid to do what it takes to win: Using all his playbook, going with fake punts and trick plays. Sometimes it doesn’t go off, but it’s impressive to have that mindset after only taking charge of nine games.
This should be a close one but I’m picking the Titans. Marcus Mariota is playing so much better at the moment, getting the ball downfield and that is one thing that was lacking in his game. It’s the thing that could make the difference when these two teams meet this Sunday.
Chicago Bears v Minnesota Vikings
Next up, let’s look at a huge game that will go a long way to sorting out the NFC North. The Vikings go to Soldier Field to take on the Bears and this one should be fascinating.
Matt Nagy has to get this Bears team over a mental hump. It’s the first time in a while that Chicago has been competitive. It’s one thing to say that you’re a Playoff team (and I still believe they will be), but you have to win these type of games to prove it.
The Vikings may feel like they have the edge because there are a lot of guys on their roster who have experience in these types of situations. The Bears, on the other hand, are a young team, with a 2nd-year guy at RB and QB.
Khalil Mack has become huge off the field as well as on it and he’s an emotional leader for this franchise. If he plays well, the Bears have a great chance of winning.
If Chicago wins the Special Teams battle, and Mitch Trubisky avoids getting picked, they will win this game. But I can completely understand why the Vikings are the hot choice for some people.
At the end of the day, I always say that being at home gives you a 3pt advantage in the NFL. With the line being set at -2.5 for the Bears, I’m picking Chicago to squeak by.
Los Angeles Rams v Kansas City Chiefs
Finally, it’s a potential prelude to the Super Bowl, with the Rams and the Chiefs facing off. It’s been a bit hectic in the last few days, with the game now being played in LA and not Mexico, but it should still be a classic.
Two of the hottest teams are going head to head and offensively, these two are setting the bar. Patrick Mahomes in going on a magical run and Jared Goff is now rolling in his own right. What I’m liking about Goff right now is that he’s controlling his offense so well, making changes at the line of scrimmage and setting the tone for the franchise.
The game will come down to who gets the most stops on defense. The Rams’ D has been slightly better in recent weeks but I think there is a lot of similarities between the two. Both give up yards in chunks and both are best when rushing the passer.
The game in my mind will hinge on turnovers. I’ve seen people make cases either way and for once, I’m not making an outright pick, sorry! What I’m going to look at instead are the points. It was going to be explosive anyways, but now the game is back on the LA surface, we could see Madden-like numbers being put up. It’s some of the highest over/under lines in the NFL for 30 years, but I’m going over.