Unsurprisingly Hawthorn enter the season as favourites to take home the flag, below I’ll have my say on Hawthorn, the Coleman medal and the Brownlow.
What can I say about the Hawks? They’ve won the last three Premierships, we’re sick of their domination, however this won’t come to an end this season. Hawthorn have won their three flags in very different manners, last year they didn’t play anywhere near 100% but West Coast were poor on the day and Cyril really came to the party to ensure victory.
Even though the Hawks have dominated the ladder in recent years, the stats suggest they’re getting worse. In 2013 they finished top of the ladder having won 19 games, 2014 they settled for second with 17 wins and last year they ended up third with 16 wins. On their day they’re simply unbeatable, they showed this by thumping Fremantle and Sydney by 70+ points last season. However they do have the capability to stink, losing to both Bulldogs and Adelaide by 70+ points.
Similar to 2015, they’ve lost players, the three notable absentees to the Grand Final winning team being, Brian Lake, David Hale and Matthew Suckling. They have cover for these players, however they’re concerns about the depth of their squad.
The Hawks will be inconsistent due to the depth of their squad and might slip up against a few much weaker teams but their best 22 is still the best in the league, they might not finish top of the ladder but they’ll make finals and get the job done. It’s boring but don’t shy away from backing Hawthorn to win four in a row at $4.25.
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Buddy is back! It’s great to see Buddy back in the action, the ex-Hawthorn player is a freak and will kick plenty this year. By all reports he’s had his best pre-season to date, and not only is his head is in the right place he’s put in the hard yards working on his fitness. Any other season punters would jump all over the $6 on offer for him to win the Coleman. Last year, Buddy kicked 47 from his 17 games with only 29 behinds. In 2014, the Sydney star slotted 79 from his 22 games. He’s in the best shape since joining Sydney, that and an improved Swans team makes him a really good bet for the Coleman.
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Fyfe and Ablett lead the way in the Brownlow betting market, however I’m going for a bit of an outsider to win the prestigious award. There is no doubt Fyfe and Ablett are freaks, but I have serious concerns about their fitness. I’m backing Dustin Martin to take the spoils at $31 with Sportsbet. Martin finished 7th in last year’s voting with 21 points, 10 behind the winner Fyfe. The Richmond star, lost narrowly last year in the Tigers best and fairest, but he’s getting better and better each year. In 2015, he had his record year for kicks, disposals, tackles and votes. He had 29+ disposals in four games in 2015, this number will only increase this season. Richmond are expected to be competing for a top four finish, if the team plays well this will be largely due Dustin Martin’s performance. You can also get on him to get the most votes for the Tigers at $2.
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