Port and Essendon stuffed up many tipsters bets last week, I backed against Port in the Adelaide Derby which turned out to be a great move. They got smashed in Round two against their cross town rivals, the defeat to the Crows has many people question their finals credentials once again. The Bombers got up against the Demons, I didn’t see that one coming. After their off season I expected them to go winless during the majority of the season. However, we must remember this was only against Melbourne.
Port were smashed in terms of disposals and marks last weekend but managed to compete on inside 50s and scoring shots. Their loss was a worry, but they can take positives out of the Adelaide clash. Powers defence has been piss-poor this season, shipping 244 points in their two games, Essendon will get the chance to score but don’t see any of their players as a consistent threat.
Power will get up in the opening game of the round, I’ll be kicking back and sipping a cold-one watching Port lead at the end of every corner at a generous $1.45. Obviously Adelaide are the obvious tip but I’m not going to tell you to lump on a $1.16 shot.
I’ve sniffed out a bit value for my player bet this week, young Aaron Young kicked four last weekend when the Crows gave his team a battering. And, as expected Robbie Gray has been Port’s main man in terms of disposals, averaging 31.50 in the opening two rounds. I’m shocked you can get on at $13 for Young to kick three or more and Gray to have 30 disposals against much weaker opposition. I know Young isn’t known at all for his goal-kicking but if he can take any of that form into this match we’re in with a chance.
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