Carlton’s four-match winning run came to a grinding halt at the hands of North Melbourne in round nine, and they have another big assignment against Geelong at Docklands this Sunday. A big worry for the Blues will be their low scores this year. They’ve already failed to reach 50 points three times, including a paltry haul of 46 against the Roos. We think Carlton could be in for a long afternoon against a Cats outfit on the rebound after their shock loss to Collingwood at the weekend. Back Geelong to win by at least 41 points ($1.92 with Luxbet) and one team to fall short of the 60-point benchmark. Hills and Centrebet will give you $2.70 if that happens.
Collingwood Magpies v Western Bulldogs
They have won two in a row, but Collingwood’s resurgence will be put to the test against the Western Bulldogs at the home of football this Sunday. The Pies released a heap of pressure on coach Nathan Buckley with an impressive victory over the Cats in round nine, but they will need to repeat that effort against the highly rated Doggies this week. The boys from Whitten Oval will be without the suspended Lin Jong in this one, but we think they’ll still have enough talent to get the job done. We like the look of a Bulldogs/Bulldogs half-time/full-time double, paying $1.89 with Sportsbet, but Magpie Scott Pendlebury to have at least 30 touches ($1.89 with Sportsbet).
West Coast Eagles v Gold Coast Suns
This could get ugly. The Eagles have put bad teams away at home this season and Gold Coast will be lambs to the slaughter at Subi on Sunday. So far in 2016, West Coast have flogged Brisbane (64 points), Fremantle (33 points), Richmond (68 points), Collingwood (62 points) and St Kilda (103 points). The Eagles’ average score on their home patch this season is almost 130, while the Suns, who are on a six-match losing streak, have haemorrhaged scores of 149, 149, 160 and 168 in the past month. We are backing the Eagles to win by at least 76 points ($1.67 with Luxbet) and taking Sportsbet up on the $2.35 they are offering for West Coast to score at least 150 points.