There has been a bit of Houdini about the Hawks in 2016 as time and time again they've found a way to escape with the points. Not against the Cats, though. Isaac Smith's after-the-siren miss last Friday night will have Hawthorn on the rebound against the Bulldogs in the same timeslot at the home of footy this week. <br/><br/>
Bulldog Lin Jong (collarbone) will miss the clash, and despite his side's ultra-impressive domination of the Eagles in week one of the finals, we think the Hawks might have them.
The three-times reigning premiers ooze September experience, so we're backing them to win by at least 20 points ($2.30 with Luxbet) and Hawks veteran Sam Mitchell to gather the most disposals on the ground ($3.25 with bet365). He had 30 last week.
Sydney Swans v Adelaide Crows
They were one of my top tips for the flag, but Sydney were exposed in last week's 36-point defeat to GWS and have got a massive semi-final assignment on Saturday night against the Crows. Being on the road could cost Adelaide in this one; Sydney play the SCG really well and did not have to travel in the first week of the finals. <br/><br/>
Big Swan Kurt Tippett, who fractured his jaw against the Giants, will not run out against his former club and the forced omission will rob this contest of a bit of extra spice. It's hard to keep a good side down, and we think the Swans will show their class this weekend. Back Sydney to lead at the end of every quarter ($2.50 with Sportsbet) and the first scoring play to be a Swans goal, which is paying $3.25 with the corporates.