Who would have thought this fixture would have two last start winners?
Never write off a champion. Last week everybody was putting the boot into Gary Ablett, questioning his dedication to the Suns as all the talk was about him coming back to Geelong.
Ablett sizzled with a game high 36 possessions and two goals as he led Gold Coast to an upset win over Hawthorn and he will again be desperate to perform well.
Ablett looks the difference between the two sides.
Should he do something similar to last week he should be able to get the Suns home, despite a putrid start to the season they do have a decent squad and the key is getting them to work together.
Other highlights for Gold Coast in the win over Hawthorn was a six-goal haul from Brandon Matera and three goals from Jack Martin, who also booted three goals the last time the Suns played the Blues.
The biggest concern for Gold Coast is the venue of Etihad Stadium as it’s a ground where they have lost five straight matches and won just twice since joining the AFL.
Carlton come into the game on the back of an emotional win over arch rivals Essendon, while that win was magical for the Carlton youngsters and supporters, it is hard to see the young squad getting themselves up for a match just six days later.
The Bombers win would have taken a physical toll on Carlton, the concern is that they will be flat for this game so there is money to be made betting on Gold Coast.
When the teams played last Gold Coast won 13.7.95 to 5.11.41 and we are anticipating a similar score line here.
Big forward Tom Lynch had a big game last time these teams played last kicking four goals and three behinds, look for him to be a focal point up forward and is worth a bet for the most goals.
Gary Ablett had 35 possessions in the only clash between these two sides last year and laid a massive eight tackles.
Look for the little master to have a big night here.
GARY ABLETT MOST DISPOSALS (GROUP A)