This game is arguably the most intriguing of the round with two powerhouse clubs out of form and desperate for a win.
Collingwood find themselves 1-3 after making lots of noise in the offseason and the pressure is at boiling point. Things would be a lot worse for them if they did not miraculously beat Sydney by a single point in Round 3.
Collingwood won this fixture comprehensively last year with the final score 22.10.142 to 11.7.73.
The last time these teams played the Pies forwards were outstanding with Alex Fasolo and Steele Sidebottom both kicking four goals.
Last week in the Pies disappointing performance to St Kilda, Taylor Adams had a game high 39 possessions and also led the way in this fixture last season with 36.
Collingwood has arguably outplayed their opposition in every game this season but horrendous foot skills and kicking at goal have ensured that they are in trouble of missing the finals.
Essendon has been dreadful the past fortnight after winning their first two games of the season. They inexplicably lost to Carlton in Round 3 and then they offered absolutely no resistance against Adelaide last week losing by 65 points and conceding 24 goals in the process.
Cult hero Anthony Mcdonald-Tipungwuti was the shining light for the Bombers last week kicking four goals, and he could again be the x-factor for the Bombers up front, however, if they are going to boot a winning score their star forward Joe Daniher must kick a bag of goals.
Daniher kicked two goals and two behinds last week against the Crows.
It is now or never for Collingwood and on the big stage we are tipping that their dysfunctional forward line will click and they will record a comfortable victory.
The bet we are extremely keen on is the over 163.5 at $1.90 Total Match Points with Sportsbet.
The Pies games have been low scoring this season, but that stat is deceptive as it is only due to their poor kicking that they have not scored more goals.
This shapes as the game where it all comes together.
In this fixture last season Taylor Adams and Scott Pendlebury both dominated with 36 and 35 touches respectively. Back them both in the Most Disposal market and for the ANZAC Day medal.
ALEX FASOLO MOST GOALS