Fevola's Round 7 Betting Preview

Take the price about the Giants to continue on their winning ways.

Oddschecker
 | 
Fri, 5 May, 1:30 AM

St Kilda vs GWS (Friday)

 

Take the price about the Giants to continue on their winning ways.

 

I am surprised at the price about them and after doing some shopping I’ve found $1.45 @ Ladbrokes which is pretty good in my opinion.

 

The big advantage they’ll have here is that it’s at Eithad Stadium and that is a venue that I think suits GWS right down to the ground.

 

The Line looks too shallow for the Saints as well because I can see GWS putting a score on them despite St Kilda not playing badly in the opening six weeks.

 

GWS will win this easily – load up on them and chuck them into your Multi bets for the weekend!

North Melbourne vs Adelaide (Saturday)

 

Don’t laugh but I am tipping the Kangaroos in this one!

 

With the match being played in Tassie that is a definite advantage for North Melbourne as they love playing down there.

 

I know Adelaide have been brutal in the first six weeks but I think they might be starting to believe a bit of the hype surrounding the team. Another thing that is that most of the teams they’ve beaten have actually matched them early before getting overpowered. Look at Richmond last week as the perfect example!

 

They will drop one soon and I’m thinking it will be this one especially since the Kangas will have a bit of confidence after beating the Suns last week.

 

A number of bookies have North @ $6 and I’ll be having something on them to try and get a fat result.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

NORTH MELBOURNE


VALUE PLAY:

BEN BROWN MOST GOALS

 

VALUE PLAY:

RORY SLOANE 30+ DISPOSALS

 

VALUE PLAY:

EDDIE BETTS FIRST GOAL

Collingwood vs Carlton (Saturday)

My loyalties will be tested here as my two sides clash at the ‘G.

 

The Pies and Blues have been a bit hard to follow this season and you wouldn’t read about it, both are coming into this match off the back of wins!

 

Honestly, it’s too hard to split the teams but the Pies are short across the board with a number of bookies.

 

I’m going wide here and saying I can’t split them – back the draw!

 

It’s paying $61 @ Palmerbet and there are plenty worse bets to take this weekend. Expect Marc Murphy to have a big one with 30+ Disposals while your First Goalscorer options are limited so back Fevola (wink!) at huge odds to get things started!

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

MARC MURPHY 30+ DISPOSALS


VALUE PLAY:

DRAW

 

VALUE PLAY:

MATTHEW WRIGHT MOST GOALS

 

VALUE PLAY:

ADAM TRELOAR 30+ DISPOSALS

Port Adelaide vs West Coast (Saturday)

 

I am looking forward to this one because it will be a cracker.

 

This will be a good game but Port is going to be too strong. They are playing some nice footy and when you combine that with the fact West Coast lose a leg once they head out of Western Australia, everything points to a Power win.

 

In saying that the Eagles don’t go half-bad in Adelaide but I still don’t think it’s enough to get them the points here.

 

Our man Robbie Gray will be the man once more when it comes to First Goalscorer ($9 @ bet365) and it’s these types of markets you will have to go for if you want value because Port are very short to win. If you want to be slightly adventurous just take Port to cover the Line.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

PORT ADELAIDE


VALUE PLAY:

ROBBIE GRAY FIRST GOALSCORER

 

VALUE PLAY:

SAM MITCHELL 30+ DISPOSALS
 

VALUE PLAY:

TRAVIS BOAK 30+ DISPOSALS

Gold Coast vs Geelong (Saturday)

 

The Suns are ready to cause an upset here.

 

The golden rule when it comes to finals footy is that if you want to make the eight then you have to win your home games. Using that as motivation I think will be enough for Gold Coast to get the money.

 

Have a look around but the boys at Sportsbet have them at $3.40 which is some nice value.

 

Expect Gary Ablett Jnr to have another big game – the guy is a freak – so he’ll eat up the touches and 30+ Disposals for him is money for jam! Another lock is Patrick Dangerfield 30+ Disposals while you can have something on Tom Lynch for Most Goals.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

GOLD COAST


VALUE PLAY:

GARY ABLETT JNR 30+ DISPOSALS

 

VALUE PLAY:

PATRICK DANGERFIELD 30+ DISPOSALS

 

VALUE PLAY:

TOM LYNCH MOST GOALS

Western Bulldogs vs Richmond (Saturday)

 

The Tigers are set to come roaring back following their belting last week.

 

Poor old Richmond fans were probably starting to think ‘Grand Final’ after going five straight to start the season but they came crashing back down to reality last week against Adelaide.

 

Despite that I fancy them at the price ($3.50 @ Ladbrokes) to get the job done over the Doggies who are way too short for mine.

 

Get on Dustin Martin for 30+ Disposals while Jack Riewoldt is your man for Most Goals.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

RICHMOND +19.5


VALUE PLAY:

RICHMOND

 

VALUE PLAY:

JACK RIEWOLDT MOST GOALS

 

VALUE PLAY:

DUSTIN MARTIN 30+ DISPOSALS

Sydney vs Brisbane (Sunday)

 

There is something majorly wrong with the Swannies if they don’t win this by a margin.

 

They should beat up the poor Lions by a score and a half and even the Line (45.5) won’t be enough to save Brisbane from embarrassment here.

 

I know it’s a big hard to be confident on a team that is yet to win in six games, however, this is Sydney’s chance to get into the winners list and big Buddy Franklin is set to have a field day.  Back him for Most Goals.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

SYDNEY -45.5


VALUE PLAY:

LANCE FRANKLIN MOST GOALS

 

VALUE PLAY:

DAN HANNEBERY 30+ DISPOSALS

 

VALUE PLAY:

JOSH KENNEDY 30+ DISPOSALS

Melbourne vs Hawthorn (Sunday)

 

Are Hawthorn going to be easybeats all season?

 

I don’t know but how can you look at the same way after the start they’ve had to 2017? They are terrible, offer nothing and will be lucky to end up with a 50 percent record at the end of the season if they keep this up.

 

The Dees are the ones to carry your cold hard cash here. The $1.47 @ Topbetta for Melbourne is about right I reckon – take it.

 

There is a bit better value at the Line so that is going to be my main play. Hawthorn may regret letting Jordan Lewis go after this game and I think he is going to come back and haunt his old club with at least 30+ Disposals.

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

MELBOURNE


VALUE PLAY:

MELBOURNE -12.5

 

VALUE PLAY:

JACK WATTS MOST GOALS

 

VALUE PLAY:

JESSE HOGAN FIRST GOAL

Fremantle vs Essendon (Sunday)

 

The Bombers are set to feel the pain in the Domain this weekend.

 

Fremantle saved one of their weakest efforts for the Derby last week and they will be keen to get back to winning ways at Domain Stadium against an Essendon side which was disappointing last week.

 

Not only are the Dockers going to win but they will cover the start (11.5) which I don’t think will be anywhere enough for Essendon.

 

I actually thought the value here existed in player markets. Michael Walters is my pick for Most Goals while Nat Fyfe will get most touches.

 

I am interested to see if anyone is offering a market on Joe Daniher to kick more points than goals. The poor bugger kicked one goal / six behinds last week and might be facing a similar scenario here!

 

 

RECOMMENDED BET:

FREMANTLE


VALUE PLAY:

FREMANTLE -11.5

 

VALUE PLAY:

NAT FYFE 30+ DISPOSALS

 

VALUE PLAY:

MICHAEL WALTERS MOST GOALS

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