The Giants need to bounce back after an unexpected defeat last start.
Collingwood has never lost to GWS but we expect that to change following this Saturday afternoon’s fixture.
Collingwood has won all five previous encounters against Greater Western Sydney including a shock 32-point victory in this fixture last season.
Former Giants Taylor Adams (31 disposals) and Adam Treloar (27 disposals) were both outstanding in this corresponding fixture last season but the Giants simply look stronger all over the field against a Collingwood side that is in disarray.
The Pies had the opportunity to vindicate their upset win over Geelong by beating struggling Carlton last week but were never a sniff eventually losing by 23 points in a loss that virtually condemned Collingwood to another season without a finals appearance.
GWS may be second on the ladder, but they themselves were disappointing against St Kilda and critics are starting to label them as soft flat track bullies. It is important for the young Giants to bounce back with a comprehensive victory against the Pies and win more contested footy.
The biggest asset for the home side is the venue of Spotless Stadium; the Giants are undefeated at the ground this year including a 102-point victory over the Brisbane Lions in Round 2 while they won six of nine games here last season.
The last time GWS lost a game they responded by winning by more than 100 points the following week and while we don’t anticipate the margin will be quite as high this time around, they should win well and represent good value at the Line and in the Over 39.5 point category.
Despite losing last week the Giants only eased slightly in betting for the premiership and are now $4 across the board. Their run looks favourable as they have Collingwood this week at home followed by Richmond at home so if you fancy them long term this could be the last chance you get to secure the $4.
Jeremy Cameron kicked five goals last time these teams clashed and should terrorise the Collingwood defence.
GWS OVER 39.5
JEREMY CAMERON FIRST GOAL