Can the Hawks keep their season alive with a third straight upset?
Three weeks ago punters were backing Hawthorn to claim the wooden spoon this season but after causing upsets wins over Adelaide and Collingwood their finals hopes are still alive and with a win over Greater Western Sydney in Tasmania they will be right back on track for yet another finals appearance.
The Hawks have a wonderful record in Tasmania which included a 19-match winning streak. Yes, they did lose to St Kilda by 75 points in Round 6 this year but they are playing much better footy than what they dished up at the start of the season.
GWS is currently top of the table and premiership favourite, and while we are keen on them to go and win the flag, they are vulnerable this week at a venue where they have never won against a side with everything to play for.
The fact that the Giants are not firing on all cylinders was shown last week when they only managed to draw at home against a Geelong side missing inspirational skipper Joel Selwood.
When the sides met last the Giants put in a performance that made the football world take notice of them, toppling the triple defending premiers with a thumping 75-point victory.
In that game the Giants midfield ran riot with Dylan Shiel leading the way with a game high 34 disposals just ahead of Heath Shaw with 30, Stephen Coniglio on 30, Callan Ward 29 and Lachie Whitfield 28.
The Giants pace in the midfield does look to hold the key in this match and if they can get a hold of them that could prove the difference, however, expect to see Hawthorn slow this game down and attempt to control the ball so therefore the Total Game Score Under 180.5 ($1.91 @ bet365) holds appeal.
In a season packed with upsets we give the Hawks a good chance of causing another one, but our suggested bet is to be slightly more conservative and take the Hawks at the Line (+13.5, $1.90 @ Unibet).
Dylan Shiel had a game high 34 disposals when these teams last played and looks a good bet to gain the most.
HAWTHORN +13.5 LINE
DYLAN SHIEL MOST DISPOSALS