Can Hawthorn cause another upset to keep their season alive?
After a glorious few years it looked as if Hawthorn had come crashing down to earth this season and a month ago many punters were backing them to claim the wooden spoon.
Since that point the Hawks have been outstanding causing upset victories against Adelaide at the Adelaide Oval and Collingwood before splitting the points against GWS last week in a thrilling draw.
Remarkably the Hawks are now back in the hunt for another finals berth if they can defeat their arch rivals Geelong.
That is a big ‘if’ though as Geelong is the form side of the competition and a genuine premiership contender.
The Cats flexed some serious muscle last week in their 85-point win over Brisbane and should officially end the Hawks’ season with a win.
Geelong has won their last three clashes with Hawthorn including an 86-point victory in Round 4 at the MCG. The most impressive part of the Geelong victory is that Patrick Dangerfield didn’t set the world on fire with just 27 disposals and no goals while Joel Selwood had 26 touches.
Expect a big impact from both those superstars and if you are not on Dangerfield for the Brownlow this might be the last opportunity to secure black figure odds about him. Luxbet and Sportsbet are still offering $2 for him to take out the honour.
The Cats are a great anchor for multi bets, they should cover the line giving up a 15.5 point start and don’t be surprised to see them run over the top of the Hawks late with 40+ ($3.75 @ bet365) is not out of the question.
The Cats are pushing hard for a vital top two finish and they look to be a big chance of going on to win the premiership. Geelong are still $6.50 and represent good value at that quote.
Luke Hodge had a game high 35 disposals when these sides met last and looks a good bet to gain 25 disposals or more.
GEELONG -15.5 LINE
GEELONG 40+ WINNING MARGIN