An intriguing game of Saturday night football.
Bad kicking is bad football and the Dockers cost themselves a win over their fierce rivals West Coast Eagles last Sunday with putrid conversion. The Dockers managed to kick just five goals from 22 scoring shots and you cannot win a game doing that.
The eventual 30-point loss showed again that the Dockers are a lost team this season and they have now lost six straight games and will again miss the finals. The shining light for Fremantle last week was the performances of star midfielders Lachie Neale and Nat Fyfe. Neale had 34 disposals with Fyfe collecting 30.
Hawthorn also snatched defeat from the jaws of victory last week as Isaac Smith again failed under pressure when missing a regulation goal. After a disastrous start to the season though the Hawks have rallied in the second half of the season to prove what a proud football club they are.
The best bet in this game is to take the ‘Any other result’ in the quarter-by-quarter market. This is effectively betting against any side leading at the end of every change.
We are taking a similar approach by taking the Winning Margin to be either team winning by Under 15.5 points, which also gives you the insurance of the draw and considering the Hawks did play in a draw a fortnight ago against Greater Western Sydney, we are certainly not discounting the possibility of it happening again.
Ball magnet Tom Mitchell has been a star for the Hawks this season since crossing from the Sydney Swans and he is now in Brownlow Medal contention.
Mitchell has collected a league high 578 disposals this season, a staggering 68 more than the next best in the league who is Matt Crouch from the Adelaide Crows.
While most expect the Brownlow Medal is a match race between Patrick Dangerfield and Dustin Martin, Mitchell is now the third favourite at $13 (@ Palmerbet).
Either team Under 15.5 points has won in three of the past four Hawks games.
QUARTER-BY-QUARTER ANY OTHER RESULT
EITHER TEAM WINNING BY UNDER 15.5 POINTS