It’s almost ‘win and you’re in’ time for the Tigers.
Both teams would have entered 2017 with similar ambitions expect that Richmond has exceeded those and the Gold Coast has fallen well short.
Richmond has won three of their past four games against Gold Coast and should again be too strong.
The Tigers overcame a slow start to record arguably their best win of the season last Saturday defeating GWS and a finals berth is now at their mercy. Sitting on 44 points coming into this round, going to 48 with just four games should be good enough to get them a spot in the final eight.
The Suns have been a disgrace this season and will again disappoint on Saturday night.
Captain Gary Ablett picks and chooses when he does and doesn’t play and despite a talented list they not only won’t be appearing in the finals for the first time, they are not out of wooden spoon calculations.
Coach Rodney Eade has escaped the spotlight due to the fact the Suns are out of sight and out of mind on the Gold Coast.
After kicking the first three goals of the game last week against the Bulldogs the Suns did not give a yelp to eventually lose by 54 points. We anticipate a similar story here that when Richmond gets on top of the Suns they will roll over and offer little resilience.
A good value bet on the game is to take the Tigers winning by 40 points or more and the line of just 18.5 looks way too low.
Dustin Martin is the player to beat in the Brownlow Medal. He was again brilliant last week with 40 disposals and he represents a tremendous betting opportunity still at $2.25 with Luxbet.
The Tigers are currently in the top four and with a good run home they still appeal when it comes to premiership markets. The yellow and black are $17 with TAB and you can take far worse 17/1 shots than Richmond at the moment.
Gold Coast has lost two of their last three games by over 40 points and that should happen again.
RICHMOND -18.5 LINE
RICHMOND OVER 39.5 POINTS