Leg 1 – Sydney Swans -52.5
Sydney enters the game against Fremantle on a red-hot streak, having gone 8-2 in their last 10, with those 2 losses coming against their bogey side Hawthorn. On the other side, Fremantle come into the match having gone 2-8 in their last 10, with those 2 wins coming against 15th place Gold Coast, and 16th place North Melbourne.
With Sydney holding a dominant 11-4 record over Fremantle at the SCG, and coming off an impressive 46 point win against Geelong at The Cattery, all signs point towards a crushing Sydney win here. Throw in the fact Sydney is fighting for a top 8 finish, while Fremantle’s season is all but over and the result is a no brainer.
Leg 2 – St Kilda +10.5
St Kilda enters the game against Melbourne off an impressive 8 point come from behind win against West Coast, while Melbourne enter the game off a crushing 35 point loss at the hands of premiership contenders GWS, now leaving them in a tough battle as they aim for their first finals berth since 2006.
With St Kilda having won 14 of their last 15 against Melbourne and having the more difficult finish to the season they will be looking to get on top early and hold onto their lead. With Melbourne also only having covered 1 of their last 10 at the MCG, there is some value here on the Saints.
Leg 3 - Cronulla Sharks +6
This for me is the bet of the round. The Sharkies were stunned last week by the Green machine at their home in the shire.
The Broncos on the other hand racked up a semi century against the hapless Titans in the Gold Coast.
This is a classic bounceback spot for the Sharks coupled with an obvious letdown spot for the Broncos. The boys from Brisbane will be much too overconfident given that the Titans practically rolled over for them.
Watch Flanagan have the Sharks ready to tear at the Broncos and negating the unorthodox spine the Broncos are using with Hunt and Nikorima.
Leg 4 – Penrith Panthers -6
Going from what we saw last week, the Cowboys look to be in utter disarray. The way they played and the lack of calm shown by coach Green is extremely concerning at this time of year.
The Cowboys took on a host of injuries with Bolton and Winterstein among the wounded come the full time siren. This game will come down to who the Cowboys won’t have in their squad as opposed to who they do have in their squad. Too many injuries for the Cowboys.
The Panthers are likely to win this by a converted try as the Panthers also have revenge in this spot.
Leg 1: Sydney Swans +52.5
Leg 2: St Kilda+10.5
Leg 3: Cronulla Sharks +6
Leg 4: Penrith Panthers-6
Approximate odds: 13.31
By Nik Hatzi