Round in review AFL review & Betting Tips
Some premiership contenders stumbled in Round 4 of the AFL
Collingwood caused the biggest upset of the season so far, completely dismantling Adelaide at home on Friday night.
The Magpies started with a +35.5 line at some bookies but led from start to finish in a 48-point thumping.
History is usually a good guide and Collingwood actually has the best record interstate out of any Victorian team in the past decade and that form line held true again for those that took $5 on a Pies victory.
If you had taken the line on Collingwood every time they have been the underdog interstate in the past decade, you would have won 19 out of 25 times.
Fourth gamer Jaidyn Stephenson was the star of the night with five goals to announce himself as a potential star of the competition.
Up next: Collingwood ($1.95) look like starting favourite in the Anzac Day clash against Essendon ($1.97) while the Crows ($3) will be big outsiders against Sydney ($1.45).
The Bulldogs dominated the game against Sydney but their inaccuracy inside fifty cost them the match.
The sons of the west had 60 inside fifties to 42 but were unable to capitalise on their opportunities as they lost the game by seven points.
At one stage in the last half, the Bulldogs kicked only two goals from 37 inside 50s, whereas the Swans, led by three goals from Lance Franklin and Luke Parker, were much more clean with the footy.
Josh Dunkley had the chance to tie the match with a minute to go but dropped an easy chest mark running into goal.
Up next: The Bulldogs ($2.34) look good value against the Dockers ($1.65) while the Swans ($1.45) will start favourites at home against Adelaide ($3).
DUSTY’S HALF DOZEN
The reigning Brownlow Medallist put on a clinic at the MCG on Saturday, kicking six goals as the Tigers isolated him in the goal square against the hapless Lions.
Martin has now kicked 12 goals in four matches this season and sits fifth on the Coleman Medal leaderboard.
Dusty actually outscored the whole Brisbane team himself, as did his teammates Jason Castagna and Jacob Townsend, as the Lions could only manage two goals for the day.
The comprehensive 93-point victory was a great percentage booster for the Tigers ahead of a big Anzac Day eve clash against Melbourne next round.
Up next: Dusty and the Tigers ($1.49) will be tipped to defeat Melbourne ($2.75) while Brisbane ($1.80) will have a big chance of their first victory of the season against Gold Coast ($2.05).