AFL Preliminary Finals Preview & Betting Tips

There are now four teams chasing premiership glory.

Oddschecker
 | 
Tue, 18 Sep, 12:00 AM


 

Richmond Tigers v Collingwood Magpies

Friday, 7.50pm

MCG

 

 

Richmond is now two wins away from going back-to-back and winning the 2018 premiership just as they did in 2017.

 

Heading into the Preliminary Final against arch rivals Collingwood, the Tigers are clearly the team to beat and it is surprising to see so many tipsters and punters sticking up for the Pies.

 

The sides have met twice this season and in both games, it was competitive for three quarters before Richmond ran riot in the final term.

 

In Round 6 Richmond won by 43 points with Josh Caddy kicking four goals and Jack Riewoldt and Dan Butler both kicking three. Adam Treloar was the leading disposal winner with 42.

 

It was almost a carbon copy when the sides met in Round 19 with Richmond winning by 28 points. Jack Riewoldt and Dustin Martin again led the way for the Tigers both kicking three goals.

 

There are some good specials around. BetEasy is offering $2* on Richmond winning while Ladbrokes has Dustin Martin $4* to kick a goal and get 30 disposals or more.

 

If you want to be more ambitious look at the TAB special of $9* for Dustin Martin to be the game’s leading possession winner.

 

Richmond should win this game and advance to the Grand Final.

 

 

Best Bet: Richmond (Win)

 

Value Bet: Jack Riewoldt Most Goals.

West Coast Eagles v Melbourne Demons

Saturday, 3.20pm

Optus Stadium

 

 

Melbourne is one win away from a fairytale finale to the 2018 season that would see them reach the Grand Final.

 

The Demons returned to the finals for the first time since 2006 and have looked ultra-impressive with wins over Geelong and Hawthorn to keep their season alive.

 

People though are overlooking the West Coast Eagles, who finished second on the ladder this season and have turned Optus Stadium into a fortress.

 

The Eagles did lose to the Demons in Round 22 but, on that occasion, the Eagles were missing multiple Coleman Medal-winning forward Josh Kennedy and lost key forward Jack Darling early in the match through injury.

 

The Eagles forward line is where they will win the game.

 

As well as Kennedy and Darling they also have wily veteran Mark Le Cras and Liam Ryan who kicked two vital goals against Collingwood in the Qualifying final.

 

In the Round 22 victory, Melbourne won by 27 points with Jake Melksham kicking a game-high four goals and Tom McDonald chiming in with three.

 

It should be a close game but we are leaning towards the Eagles to get the job done at home.  It is worth backing the Eagles here and snapping up the $6* currently available with TAB to win the flag.

 

 

Best Bet: West Coast (Win) 

 

Value Bet: Josh Kennedy to kick more goals than Tom McDonald

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