Brownlow Medal Top Six Bets
Our expert has run his eye across the Brownlow markets and found some fantastic value
THE TOP SIX BETS - BROWNLOW MEDAL 2018
Max Gawn to have the most one vote games ($41* with BetEasy)
The cult figure had an unbelievable season for the Demons, polling at least five coaches award votes in 11 matches, which was more than any other player. As we know though, the Brownlow Medal is an award for inside midfielders so we’re tipping that Gawn will under poll in games the bookies have him down for two or three votes and only get one. Going by previous years, five one vote games should be enough to win this, and we have Gawn a chance to poll in 15 matches.
Jack Macrae to poll three votes in Round 19 v Port Adelaide ($34* with TAB)
The last four times the Bulldog ball magnet has had 12 contested possessions and five clearances in a game, he has polled Brownlow Medal votes. On this miserable day in Ballarat, he gathered 22 contested possessions and 12 clearances. Don’t worry about the fact the Bulldogs lost by six goals, the last two times Macrae polled votes were in losses as well.
Jack Macrae to poll the most votes in the last eight rounds ($151* at Sportsbet)
Following on from our previous suggested bet, if he polls three in Round 19 that no bookie has factored in, where else can we make money? The Bulldog went on an absolute heater in the last five rounds, averaging 38 disposals (15 contested) and eight clearances and we think he can poll between 13-15 votes. It might not be enough, with Dayne Beams likely to win this market, but at $151* it’s worth having a couple of coins on.
In case you haven’t realized, we think Jack Macrae will poll better than expected so it’s worth chucking him in a couple of trifectas. It’s hard to see Tom Mitchell not winning and Dusty Martin will poll very well again so have something on Mitchell/Martin/Macrae at $51* with BetEasy and Mitchell/Macrae/Martin at $67* with BetEasy. If you really want to test your luck, having $5* on Mitchell/Martin/Macrae/Beams first four with Sportsbet at $410*.
Having a multi on who will poll the most votes for each team is a tradition as great as the Brownlow itself and it would be rude not to have something on here, even though a lot of the value is already gone. The ones we are still liking are; Dayne Zorko (without Beams) at $1.45* with TAB; Stephen Coniglio $1.90* with TAB; Ollie Wines $2.40 *with TAB; Josh Kennedy $3 with TAB. There’s a $20 multi right there without taking too much risk.
Dustin Martin to poll three votes in Round 20 ($26* with TAB)
As we saw last year, the umpires love Dusty. In this game, he had 23 kicks - the most on the ground - along with 17 contested possessions and 10 clearances. And the Tigers won a close game. The bookies have Tim Kelly as a $1.45* favourite to get the three but generally, you need a good season before you get noticed by the umpires. Get on Dusty!