AFL Round 3: Saturday Night Match Previews & Betting Tips
Two undefeated teams hoping to remain that way meet in an intriguing clash at the Gabba plus the highly anticipated Grand Final rematch headlines an amazing Round 3.
Brisbane v Port Adelaide - Gabba - 7:25pm
Two of the surprising undefeated teams of the season meet on Saturday night in what shapes as one of the games of the round. It’s a week full of great matchups but this one certainly lives up to top billing. The Lions and Power have both started the season brightly winning their opening two matches, the former as an underdog on both occasions.
They head into this contest with the favourite tag, something they only did four times last season, winning two and losing two. They also only managed to win two games at home last season, something they will be keen to rectify this season, especially after their stirring win against the Eagles in Round 1 as they look to start 3-0 for the first time since 2010.
Port Adelaide did just enough to earn the four points against Carlton last week in what was a far from convincing performance but conditions, especially in the second half made that tough. The positive sign for Ken Hinkley’s men is that they won and their three top 20 draft picks again shined brightly. They will be boosted in the midfield, which has been brilliantly led by Travis Boak and former Lion Tom Rockliff in the opening two weeks by co-captain Ollie Wines who will make his season debut this week.
Key Stat: Port Adelaide have won seven of the past eight matches against Brisbane
Best bet: Brisbane 1-39 @ $2.20*
Value bet: Brisbane -8.5/Under 175.5 @ $3.60*
Collingwood v West Coast - MCG - 7:25pm
West Coast won all three meetings against Collingwood last season, two of which were at the MCG, yet go into this match as despised outsiders. The money has been one-way traffic for the Pies after their brilliant win against Richmond on Thursday night. But the Eagles were just as dominant and avenging their Round 1 defeat by thumping the Giants at Optus Stadium.
The Grand Finalists from last season both head into the match 1-1 and with key protagonists that weren’t involved in last year’s epic decider. For the premiers, Andrew Gaff makes his long-awaited return from suspension, Brad Sheppard who missed the Grand Final due to a hamstring injury suffered in the qualifying final and even former Pie Josh Smith who was delisted by Collingwood may get a chance to have his say against his former team.
The Pies have been bolstered by Jamie Elliott, Darcey Moore, Jordan Roughead and Dayne Beams who all come into the 22, while the Collingwood midfield who were thoroughly outplayed by West Coast on the day, will be looking make amends for their poor display in the Grand Final. It promises to be an absolute cracker, especially if we get anything close to what we saw on the last Saturday in September last year.
Key Stat: West Coast has covered the line in five of the last seven meetings against Collingwood
Best bet: West Coast +15.5 @ $1.92*
Value bet: West Coast +15.5/Over 163.5 @ $3.60*