AFL Round 5: Good Friday Previews & Betting Tips

Ryan Lepore
 | 
Tue, 16 Apr, 12:00 AM

North Melbourne v Essendon - Marvel Stadium - 4:20 PM

For the third straight year, North Melbourne will be hosting a match on Good Friday and this year it’s Essendon that are their opponents.

North Melbourne should enter this fixture with a renewed sense of confidence, having overcome Adelaide by 12-points last weekend to mark its first victory of 2019. Although a promising result, less so was their continued inability to hit the scoreboard; the Roos rank 15th for points scored this season and harbour the league’s second-worst defence. Those stats certainly don’t bode well coming up against an Essendon side that has found its groove across the last fortnight, resulting in victories over the Demons and Lions. The latter of those results saw the Bombers run out 47-point winners over the previously unbeaten Lions behind a career-best seven goals from Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti.

Essendon has experienced no issues penetrating North Melbourne’s defence over the past two seasons, scoring a combined 257 points in successive victories against the Roos at this venue, which snapped a four-game losing streak.

 

Key Stat: The underdog has covered the line in the last six matches between North Melbourne and Essendon at Marvel Stadium.

 

Tip: Essendon

Best bet: Essendon -10.5 @ $1.92*

Value bet: Essendon 40+ @ $4.20*

West Coast v Port Adelaide - Optus Stadium - 8:10 PM

In search of their fourth consecutive victory, the West Coast Eagles will host Port Adelaide at Optus Stadium in the second match of the Good Friday double-header.

The Eagles have responded brilliantly since their hefty Round 1 defeat to the Lions with three straight victories, although they were made to earn it against the Dockers in a hard-fought Western Derby. It was their eighth straight victory in the fixture as skipper Shannon Hurn picked up his third Glendinning-Allan Medal during that result by recording 32 disposals at 84.4% efficiency, however, it’s likely another Eagles defender who will haunt the Power in the lead-up to this fixture.

Jeremy McGovern is that man due to the match-winning goal he kicked after the siren against Port at the Adelaide Oval during Round 21, 2018. The Power was on the end of a similarly heartbreaking home loss last weekend as they fell 99-92 to a depleted Tigers lineup. Having fallen in Brisbane the week prior, the Power is now 2-2 in 2019 and avoiding a third straight defeat appears difficult given they have lost six of their last seven against the Eagles - two of which have been after the siren.

 

Key Stat: Nine of the last 10 matches between West Coast and Port Adelaide have gone UNDER the total match points line.

 

Tip: West Coast

Best bet: Port Adelaide +28.5 @ $1.91*

Value bet: West Coast 1-24 @ $3.20*

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