AFL Round 7: Saturday Night Match Previews & Betting Tips
The Bulldogs need to claim a big scalp to get their season back on track after four straight defeats. The reigning premiers get a golden opportunity to bounce back from two heavy defeats when they host the Suns at Optus Stadium.
Western Bulldogs v Richmond - Marvel Stadium - 7:25pm
Continuing to thrive in spite of a lengthy injury list, Richmond will attempt to move its winning streak to four matches by downing the struggling Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium. The Tigers reached their current position through an impressive 43-point victory against the Demons on ANZAC Day Eve, in which they conceded just two goals after quarter-time.
That defensive form should be a cause for concern for the Bulldogs, who have not scored more than 69 points in any of their last four matches, resulting in four defeats. With that being said, the Bulldogs have overperformed as underdogs this season, winning twice and coming within 20 points of victory twice from their four such matches. It proved a similar story when they met the Tigers last season, as they fell by just three points despite entering as 44.5-point underdogs.
Jack Riewoldt kicked five goals during that result, indicating his absence could be heavily felt by Richmond but their defence should be able to clamp down on the struggling Bulldogs forward line.
Key Stat: Richmond has won 28 of its last 30 matches in Melbourne.
Best bet: Under -20.5
Value bet: Richmond 40+
West Coast v Gold Coast - Optus Stadium - 8:10pm
In need of a confidence-boosting victory after consecutive dismal displays, West Coast will get the perfect opportunity for just that when a faltering Gold Coast side travels to Optus Stadium. The Eagles fell by a combined scoreline of 199-99 to Port Adelaide and Geelong in their most recent two fixtures, seeing them drop to 3-3 for the season with a percentage of just 88.2%.
Even so, the Suns have plummeted to even greater depths from their most recent two outings, falling by a combined margin of 122 points to the Crows and Lions to also sit at 3-3. The head-to-head history between these clubs in Perth indicates Gold Coast could be on the end of another hiding; the side has lost each of its previous seven such matches, the most recent three of which have come by a margin of 77+ points and has seen Josh Kennedy kick 14 total goals.
Key Stat: Gold Coast has failed to cover the line in 10 of its last 11 interstate night matches as an underdog.
Tip: West Coast
Best bet: West Coast -45.5
Value bet: West Coast 60+