AFL Round 8: Saturday Afternoon Match Previews & Betting Tips

Old foes meet at the MCG on Saturday afternoon, while the Lions look to continue to push their top four credentials against the Bulldogs in Ballarat and the Dees look to back up their drought-breaking when they travel to the Gold Coast.

Ryan Lepore
 | 
Wed, 8 May, 12:00 AM

Carlton v Collingwood - MCG - 1:45pm

17th meets 2nd at the MCG on Saturday afternoon when traditional rivals Carlton and Collingwood do battle.

The Blues had appeared to be trending upward prior to an abysmal performance against the Kangaroos which resulted in a 58-point defeat and as such enter this fixture with the expectation of a blowout result to come.

Part of that expectation can also be attributed to the form of the Magpies, who have now won four straight matches after easily overcoming the Power by 39-points last Friday night. The opening quarter of that contest saw Collingwood absolutely obliterate its opposition, resulting in a 45-point lead – the side’s seventh consecutive first-quarter win of the campaign and they will be again looking to get out of the blocks early.

The Blues may yet fancy their chances of avoiding a similar fate given they have not trailed the Pies by more than a goal at quarter-time from their last six meetings, seeing each of those contests decided by a margin of 24 points or less.

 

Key Stat: Jordan De Goey has been the first goal-scorer in three of Collingwood's last five matches.

 

Tip: Collingwood

Best bet: Collingwood 40+

Value bet: Jordan De Goey First Goalscorer

Western Bulldogs v Brisbane - Mars Stadium - 1:45pm

The Brisbane Lions have set themselves up beautifully at 5-2 to break their decade long finals drought with two thirds of the season remaining.

Standing in their way this week is a Bulldogs team fresh off a season-best performance against the Tigers, which result in a 47-point win, snapping a four-game losing streak. 19-year-old Aaron Naughton has a remarkable game, plucking nine contested marks and booting five goals in what many are saying was the best game by a key forward in recent memory. Luke Beveridge and the Bulldogs would be tickled pink after the teenager signed a five-year contract extension earlier in the season.

Brisbane are building their own impressive young list and now sit 4th on the ladder after overcoming Sydney by 22-points last week, their first such result in 10 years. Saturday afternoon will be their first trip to Mars Stadium, a venue that hasn't been kind to the hosts. The Bulldogs have lost two of their three matches in Ballarat and failing to cover the line in any of the three, although they will be looking for a 5th consecutive win over the Lions.

 

Key Stat: Each of the Western Bulldogs' last five home matches has gone UNDER the total match points line.

 

Tip: Brisbane

Best bet: Brisbane +6.5

Value bet: Brisbane over 15.5

Gold Coast v Melbourne - Metricon Stadium - 4:35pm

After finally registering their second win of the season last week, Melbourne will look to continue resurrecting its 2019 campaign when they travel north to take on Gold Coast at Metricon Stadium.

The Demons picked up their second victory of the season in thrilling fashion last weekend, overcoming the Hawks by five-points at the MCG.

Gold Coast has been no stranger to a thriller in 2019, with each of its first four matches decided by a margin of five points or less. Since then, the Suns have found themselves on somewhat of a downward trend, first falling to the Crows and Lions by a combined margin of 122 points, before most recently going down by 23-points to the Eagles in Perth in what was a far more competitive display. That result could be the catalyst for a return to form, however, if they are to complete their 4th victory of the season they will need to overcome a six-match losing streak against the Demons, which includes two defeats in 2018 by a combined margin of 165 points.

 

Key Stat: Melbourne has covered the line in seven of its last eight matches against Gold Coast.

 

Tip: Melbourne

Best bet: Melbourne -17.5

Value bet: Melbourne -17.5/Under 160.5

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