AFL Round 9: Saturday Night Match Previews & Betting Tips
The Dons and Dockers meet as both teams look to end a losing streak while it’s a desperate matchup in Hobart with the Roos and Swans both look to keep their season alive.
Essendon v Fremantle - Marvel Stadium - 7:25pm
Each in desperate need of a steadying victory after downturns in form, Essendon and Fremantle will face off at Marvel Stadium on Saturday night.
The Bombers’ issues appear to run deeper, with their controversial five-point loss to the Swans in Sydney last weekend marking a three-match losing streak which has seen them score just 65 points per contest.
Fremantle fell to a second straight loss when they were beaten by 25-points by an undermanned Richmond outfit at home last weekend, but will be confident of clamping down on the Dons given they still rank third for average points conceded this season (71).
It remains to be seen whether that’s false confidence when considering Fremantle has allowed 90+ points in each of its last three meetings with Essendon. Two of those fixtures took place at this venue and resulted in victory for the Bombers, indicating the task at hand for the visiting Dockers could be a difficult one, especially against a hungry Essendon playing for their season.
Key Stat: The home team has won the last seven matches between Essendon and Fremantle
Best bet: Essendon 1-39
Value bet: Essendon over 39.5
North Melbourne v Sydney - Blundstone Arena - 7:25pm
Sitting 16th and 17th on the ladder respectively after the opening eight rounds, Sydney and North Melbourne will both go in search of only a third win of the season when they meet at Blundstone Arena on Saturday evening.
The Kangaroos should be happy to return to their home away from home, where they have won 14 of 18 previous matches. It is important to note two of those defeats actually came against the Swans. With that being said, those losses occurred during 2013 and 2016, years in which Sydney reached the preliminary and Grand Final respectively.
However, the Swans will still bring winning form with them to Hobart after defeating the Bombers by five-points in controversial fashion last week. Meanwhile, North Melbourne was downed by 24-points by Geelong, despite the best efforts of Ben Brown, who finished with five goals. Sydney isn’t expected to welcome its own spearhead back this week, with Lance Franklin likely to again sit out again with his hamstring injury.
Key Stat: Sydney has won its last seven away matches against North Melbourne
Best bet: Sydney +14.5
Value bet: Sydney over 15.5