AFL Round 9: Sunday Match Previews & Betting Tips
The Power will look to get back on the winners list against the Suns before the Tigers meet the Hawks at the ‘G in a blockbuster and the Giants will look to respond from a big loss when they host the Blues.
Port Adelaide v Gold Coast - Adelaide Oval - 1:10pm
Port Adelaide will look to arrest a mini losing streak as they host the Suns at Adelaide Oval on Sunday afternoon.
The Power has run into the Pies and Crows over the last fortnight, suffering losses in both games and losing troops along the way. After losing Robbie Gray, Ollie Wines, Brett Ebert and Tom Jonas, Ryan Burton was added to the growing injury list with a hamstring injury in the first quarter in the Showdown, buy may regain Ebert and Gray on Sunday.
The Suns lost what looked like the unloseable against the Dees last week, going down by a solitary point after leading by six points with only 40 seconds left on the clock. Incredibly, it was their fifth game of the season decided by under a goal. Gold Coast have lost nine straight against Port Adelaide after defeating them in their first ever fixture back in 2011. The last three have been won by an average margin of 75.6 points, an alarming stat for Stuart Dew’s men as they look for their first ever victory at the Adelaide Oval in their sixth attempt.
Key Stat: Port Adelaide has a 15-8 W/L record after losing as an underdog from 2014 onwards.
Tip: Port Adelaide
Best bet: Gold Coast +35.5
Value bet: Either team under 15.5
Richmond v Hawthorn - MCG - 3:20pm
Richmond’s injury crisis deepened last week, but they still returned home from their trip to Perth with a highly valuable four points after another gutsy interstate win.
A 111-86 victory was just rewards for a team rebounding from a heavy and surprising defeat a week prior, while being several key members down. Ruckman Toby Nankervis and rookie Jack Ross have joined the injury list, while ‘backup ruckman’ Shaun Grigg announced his immediate retirement during the week.
The Hawks are coming off a stunning 33-point win against the Giants as they responded to their loss against the Demons in the best possible fashion, however, are yet to win back-to-back games this season. It’s an opportunity that won’t be lost on the Hawks as a spot in the eight and a chance to redeem their qualifying final loss from last season are at stake. The Tigers have won three straight against the Hawks, covering the line in all three matches but could be exposed in the ruck dual with Ben McEvoy who has been highly influential again this season.
Key Stat: Richmond has a 14-2 W/L record playing as a home team from 2018 onwards.
Best bet: Richmond -7.5
Value bet: Richmond over 24.5
GWS v Carlton - Giants Stadium - 4:40pm
Round 9 concludes with the Giants hosting the Blues at Giants Stadium as the home team looks to reestablish themselves as a top four contender after a heavy loss against the Hawks last week, exposing them once again at the MCG.
Jeremy Cameron came into last week’s match with 30 goals at an average of 4.3 per game but was held goalless by James Frawley and the team managed just five majors as Hawthorn denied the Giants possession and stopped their free flowing game.
They will get a chance to get back to that against the Blues who have conceded 92.6 points per match and are the lowest scoring team in the competition through the first eight rounds. Excluding their one-point loss in 2017, the Giants have won their last three matches against the Blues by an average margin of 83 points. Carlton responded to their drubbing at hands of the Kangaroos by pushing Collingwood all the way last week. They led by 11 points at the 20-minute mark of the final term but were unable to hang on and claim their second win of the season and now stare down the barrel of a 1-8 start to the season having lost 11 of their last 12 matches interstate.
Key Stat: GWS has a 20-7-1 W/L/D record at GIANTS Stadium from 2016 onwards
Best bet: GWS over 39.5
Value bet: GWS -37.5/Under 165.5 total match points