AFL Round 10: Saturday Night Match Previews & Betting Tips

The highlight of Indigenous Round is always Dreamtime at the ‘G and we’re set for a classic, while the ladder leading Cats travel north to face the Suns.

Ryan Lepore
 | 
Thu, 23 May, 12:00 AM

Richmond v Essendon - MCG - 7:25pm

Dreamtime at the ‘G continues to get bigger and bigger and is a match Richmond have owned over the past four seasons and will look to continue that dominance on Saturday night. Overall, the Tigers have defeated the Bombers in their last eight encounters, including a tight struggle in Round 22 last season, which ended Essendon’s late finals push.

On that occasion, Richmond was missing midfielders Trent Cotchin, Kane Lambert and Dion Prestia and that injury list has grown even longer for this time around with the skipper joined by Alex Rance, Jack Riewoldt, Jayden Short and Toby Nankervis on the sidelines. As is backup ruckman Ivan Soldo was suspended meaning Richmond will head into the contest without a recognised ruckman, which Essendon will likely try to expose as Hawthorn did before McEvoy’s injury last week. Dustin Martin was back to his best last week and will be looking for his third Yiooken Award, which is awarded to best on ground in the Dreamtime match.

Essendon snapped their three-game losing streak against Fremantle in less than convincing fashion but did enough to earn a crucial four points and remain in touch with the top eight. However, in a major blow for the Dons who have already lost last year’s best and fairest winner Devon Smith for the season, Joe Daniher has been added to that list after reaggravating his troublesome groin at training.

 

Key Stat: Richmond has a 15-2 W/L record as a home team from 2018 onwards.

 

Tip: Richmond

Best bet: Richmond -12.5

Value bet: Dustin Martin 30+ disposals/1+ goal @ $5 with TAB

Gold Coast v Geelong - Metricon Stadium - 7:25pm

Geelong will look to further cement top position on the ladder when they face the Gold Coast Suns at Metricon Stadium on Saturday night. The Suns have lost five consecutive matches after beginning the season 3-1 but will take confidence in the fact they’ve beaten the Cats in two of their last three visits to the Gold Coast.

However, last season was a vastly different story with Geelong winning both their encounters by 102 and 85 points respectively. The Cats have won eight of their opening nine matches to start the season and recorded a comfortable 44-point victory against the Bulldogs last week, despite having the margin cut to just nine points in the final quarter. They will be sweating on the fitness of Brownlow Medalist Patrick Dangerfield who was on crutches at the end of the game last week and may decide to opt against sending one of their star players interstate.

Geelong continues to score heavily and are the only team to average more than 100 points a game. Conversely, the Suns are stuck at the bottom of the list, averaging 61 points a game – eight fewer than the next lowest, Melbourne.

 

Key Stat: Geelong has won four of their past five interstate matches.

 

Tip: Geelong

Best bet: Geelong 40+

Value bet: Geelong 60+

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