AFL Round 23: Saturday Night Match Previews & Betting Tips
The Giants will be desperate to take winning form into the finals when they travel to face the Suns while Hawthorn will be playing for a finals berth when they tackle the Eagles in Perth who themselves will be looking to secure a home final.
Gold Coast v GWS - Metricon Stadium - 7:25pm
Able to secure a home final through victory on Saturday night, GWS will visit Gold Coast at Metricon Stadium. This fixture against the last-placed Suns could hardly have come at a better time for the Giants, as they look for a soft kill after being annihilated by both the Hawks (56-points) and Bulldogs (61-points) across the last two weeks.
Only the Suns hold a worse record across the last fortnight , having fallen by a combined margin of 161 points to Brisbane and Hawthorn. Those results mean Gold Coast has now lost 17 matches on the bounce, with five of its last seven outings having been decided by a margin of 11+ goals.
Nick Haynes is the latest Giant star added to the injury list after fracturing his cricoid against the Bulldogs last week. The half back will now be in a race against time to get back to play in the Giants’ first final. Another intriguing storyline heading into this fixture is the race for the Coleman Medal.
Jeremy Cameron will return to play his 150th career match and trails Ben Brown by four goals heading into this weekend. With Brown playing earlier in the afternoon, Cameron will have a target in sight and will fancy his chances against the 18th ranked defence of the Suns.
Key Stat: The favourite has covered the line in 10 of the last 11 matches between the Gold Coast and GWS.
Best bet: GWS 40+
Value bet: Jeremy Cameron to kick 6+ Goals
West Coast v Hawthorn - Optus Stadium - 8:10pm
Hoping to secure a top two spot and a home final, the Eagles will be hoping for a big victory over the Hawks on Saturday night at Optus Stadium and hope other results fall their way.
A victory will secure secure a top-four finish for the reigning premiers, but may be left to rue last week’s six-point loss to Richmond if they’re forced to travel in the first week of the finals. There is also the possibility this encounter could propel the Hawks to an unlikely September berth if they are to win and other results go their way across Round 23.
Hawthorn should take confidence from its ability to go the distance with West Coast during Round 15 at a rain-soaked MCG, as Jamie Cripps’ late goal proved the difference in a 77-71 victory for the visiting side. However, exhibiting a similar performance on the road should be difficult for the Hawks given the Eagles have lost just twice from their 11 matches at this venue in 2019. With that being said, just a fortnight ago the Hawks hammered the Giants by 56-points in the Canberra snow, marking their third win from four outings as underdogs, demonstrating they should not be underestimated.
Key Stat: West Coast has covered the line in 29 of its last 37 matches following a loss.
Tip: West Coast
Best bet: West Coast -27.5
Value bet: West Coast 40+