Anthony Joshua vs Joseph Parker Betting Tips & Preview

Read on for some possible windfalls ahead of the biggest fight of the year.

Wed, 28 Mar, 12:05 AM

Numerous times throughout the year, the attention of the Great British public is absorbed by one Anthony Joshua.

As with any fight involving the Champ, a sense of anticipation and expectation sweeps over the motherland.

This Sunday Morning, over 1.5m pairs of eyes, including those of UFC president Dana White, will be placed firmly on the action at the Principality Stadium in Cardiff when AJ takes on New Zealand slinger Joseph Parker. 

Our team in the UK has you covered with the analysis, breakdown and best bets from what should be a brilliant night of boxing. 


Parker can’t be overlooked and could prove problematic


If there’s one slight on the record of Joshua, it's that there's an alleged lesser caliber of fighter on his CV (Wladimir Klitschko aside).

The likes of Carlos Takam, Charles Martin, Dominic Breazeale and Eric Molina all posed different kinds of problems for Joshua – but not unsolvable ones. 

Parker on the other hand has something slightly different. Having never been knocked down, he boasts something that earlier contenders may have not – a decent chin and durability. 


Joshua to get the job done later rather than sooner


Despite the aforementioned durability, toughness and all-round ability to take a shot, I still fully expect AJ to get the job done come Saturday night. 

Parker has nearly double (123) the number of rounds under his belt than Joshua and has unquestionably more experience in the championship rounds. The unbeaten champion has accumulated six wins by the way of points throughout his career, something Joshua is still yet to do. 

When comparing the jab, Joshua’s diminished Parker in every single round fought, with AJ boasting a success rate of 26.9% compared to the New Zealander’s 9.2%.


Looking to deluge the relatively fancy footwork and counter punching ability of Parker, I envisage Joshua stating his claim in the earlier rounds without fully burning out the gas tank. 

In my opinion, AJ turns it on towards the end of the sixth round after Parker puts up with his precision, overwhelming power shots and pinpoint accuracy.


7th-12th group round betting is where the value can be found 


As with any AJ fight, bookmakers have again erred on the side of caution when presenting odds on the unbeaten Englishman.

With the current price of $1.12** untouchable for obvious reasons, We're looking at group round betting for the value. 

Joshua has the physical advantage by a land-slide, boasting a two-inch height advantage and an unspeakable six inches reach over his advisory. This, in turn, gives AJ a sizable advantage in keeping the fight where he wants it and dragging Parker into deep waters, in my opinion. 


Both men enter the contest with entirely different fighting styles, mantras and ethos. AJ has 16 (80%) of his victories inside the first three rounds (against weaker opponents), except his previous two scraps, which have gone past the seventh.

 When presented with a more versatile and difficult challenge, we’ve seen AJ take his time rather than dive in head first, similar to the start of his already established career.

With the aforementioned durability of Parker, I can see the New Zealander taking punishment, perhaps going down once or twice, but making it to the start of the 7th round. 

From there, Joshua takes over and after softening Parker up with power shots in the opening six rounds and dispatches of him in the 7th or 8th. Joshua to win between the rounds of 7-12 is best priced $2.63*


For further value, AJ to win by KO/TKO or DQ in the 8th is best priced $12, and could prove juicy value if and when Joshua takes the unbeaten New Zealand hope into the later rounds. 


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