Tyson Fury v Deontay Wilder Tips & Betting Preview

Will the Gypsy King complete a famous comeback in Los Angeles?

Peter Morris
Wed, 28 Nov, 5:53 PM

 

Tyson Fury takes on Deontay Wilder in the Staples Center, Los Angeles on Saturday night (Sunday afternoon AEDT) after 2 years out of the ring followed by 2 easy (to say the least) warm up fights. Has this fight come too early in Tyson Fury’s comeback, or will he have returned to his elusive, awkward best? 

 

The bookies certainly believe Tyson Fury is not ready for Deontay Wilder, with the big Alabama native odds on favourite, best price $1.66 with Topbetta. Looking purely for value, it’s hard not to side with Tyson Fury at $2.60 with BetEasy. He’s undoubtedly the more gifted boxer of the two and has demonstrated his world class credentials in the past, when going over to Germany to outpoint Wladimir Klitschko.

 

The question mark over Fury is whether he is able to avoid Wilders massive right hand – the looping overhand right which Wilder throws is a shot that has troubled Fury in the past. However, Wilder is very wild with it, and it’s fair to say he isn’t the most accurate puncher. As he did with Klitschko, Fury is likely to tie up Wilder and hold a lot, making the fight messy and scrappy on the inside, an area Fury will definitely have the edge over Wilder.

 

The general opinion is, if Wilder doesn’t stop Fury, he will struggle to win on points. That seems a fair assessment and one the market reflects, with Fury to win a decision at $3.50 compared to $6.20 for Wilder. However, Wilder is athletic, mobile and relentless, so the idea that a distance fight would go the way of a Fury shut out is misguided – Wilder is absolutely capable of winning rounds against Fury.

 

 

However, despite this, the value bet appears to be with Fury. If this fight was taking place a short time after Fury’s win against Klitschko you can imagine him going into the fight as favourite and Wilder the outsider. His time out may have affected him negatively but on the flipside it may not have had much impact; in which case you can get $2.60 on an undefeated, lineal heavyweight world champion against a wild, messy puncher with limited boxing ability.

 

To compound this value point, look at Wilder’s performance against other fighters. His chin rarely gets spoken about, but Eric Molina, a fighter who only lasted 3 rounds against Anthony Joshua and has lost to mediocre opposition, landed and hurt Wilder badly. In the same way Wilder can take rounds off Fury, Fury can certainly hurt and even stop Wilder – this is heavyweight boxing after all. While a stoppage win for Fury, at $8.50, looks unlikely, Wilder to be knocked down at any point is $3.25 and both fighters to be knocked down is $6.50 with Unibet.

 

The main bet for this fight, which presents the most value is Fury to win at $2.60 with BetEasy. It’s also worth a small bet on both fighters hitting the canvas, at $6.50 with Unibet and finally, in reference to the idea that Wilder will actually take some rounds off Fury, and the home American judges; a Fury split decision victory with Bet365 at $15 is worth a look.

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