Normally my money would be on the Sydney Sixers to win this game as I am far from convinced by the Adelaide Strikers squad, however injuries and international duty has changed my mind. Sydney are without Smith, Lyon, Henriques, Lawford, O’Keefe, Hazlewood and Starc. If these players were all available for Sydney they’d be $1.50 to win.
The Strikers on the other hand haven’t got this problem, they don’t host any current Aussie internationals and will have consistency in their selection during the competition. Adelaide lost their first fixture last time out against Sydney Thunder, where they struggled to a measly 117 form their 20 overs. Even though they’ve won two from three, a few of their big players are yet to fire for Adelaide including Ludeman, Simmons and overseas Jayawardene.
Even with all the absentees the Sixers still have match winners at the top of the order. Lumb, Silk and Haddin have all showed how dangerous they can be on their day and we’re all aware of the talent Maddinson possesses. Sydney have won three in four in Adelaide, which gives them hope entering this game.
We’re backing the Strikers to win this one, the odds are a lot shorter than should be but Henriques is a huge blow with both bat and ball. Without him the Sixers are light on the batting, only Lumb has scored a combined total over 100 in their four fixtures. Adelaide are best odds of $1.65 but they’re as short as $1.53 with one bookie.
Top Strikers Batsman
Adelaide’s top order looks fragile, not sure where Simmons will get a run from. Jayawardene is a class act and will also be in contention for top runscorer, but there is always value in backing a middle order batsman to top score for the Strikers. Brad Hodge has top scored in their last game and second top scored in the opener, at 41 it’s remarkable he’s still battling with the best. At $7 he’s a very good price, Sydney have managed to take relatively early wickets this year which will give Hodge time to settle in.
Top Sixers Batsman
Maddinson is yet to fire in the Big Bash this year, without Henriques there will be extra pressure on him to score. Opening batsman have found it pretty easy going against the Strikers bowling attack in BBL05, Kallis hit 49, Marsh 47 and Stoinis 50. For that reason, and because he’s top scored in two of the four games already this year, we’re backing Lumb to top score for the Sixers at $4.33. However, with Silk batting at four we were tempted by the $6.5 on offer for him to top score.
Top Sixers Bowler
The Strikers top order isn’t in the best touch, if the opening bowlers can get it right they’re wickets to be taken early. Doug the rug has bowled with good control in this years competition and has five wickets to his name. We’re backing him to take some early scalps and be the Sixers top bowler at $4.33.
Strikers Opening Partnership
One market we’re keeping our eye on is the Adelaide Strikers opening partnership, in the three games to date the opening partnership has averaged under 13 runs, with the highest total being 20. Simmons looks like he’s forgotten how to hold a bat, and with the Sixers having two ex-Aussie internationals opening the bowling we don’t expect a change in this trend. We’re backing the opening stand to be under 24 and $1.83 with Stan James.
Adil Rashid Match Peformance - Spread Betting
Our spread betting tip for this game is to buy Adil Rashid’s match performance, Rashid has impressed with both the bat and ball in this competition. The Englishman has taken four wickets in his three games and scored twenty five down the order in the last game. A weakened Sixers batting order will bring Rashid more into the game.
The spread has two prices, a buy and a sell price. You can buy Rashid at 28 points, you can buy points for any stake, but the more each point is worth, the bigger both your liability and potential return.
So, how does Rashid get points? The following applies:
- 1 point per run
- 10 points per catch
- 20 points per wicket
- 25 points per stumping
If, for example, he takes two wickets and nothing else, you’re in profit if you Buy as he’ll have scored 40 points (more than the 28 point spread). If Rashid only takes one wicket and four runs he would get 24 points, leaving you on -4 points. Therefore if you staked $10 a point you’d lose $40.
But if Rashid scores 20 runs and also takes two wickets he’d score 60 points, which would result in a profit of $320 from a $10 stake. Hopefully this makes sense, but click through to the Sporting Index website for further information.