Spurs will come into this with a home advantage given they’ve played at Wembley all season. Spurs have won three of their last four when hosting the Big Six, only losing to Premier League Champions Man City in this time, while prior to that result last weekend, they’d won their previous six league outings home or away – including wins over both Arsenal and Chelsea. Meanwhile, Man Utd were beaten 2-0 by Spurs at Wembley earlier this season and a 1-0 loss to West Brom last weekend encapsulated the worst of their performances under Mourinho.
Over the past four seasons in the FA Cup semi-finals and final, there have been more than two goals in 11 of 16 games, while the same has occurred in 10 of 13 such matches over that time where Premier League clubs have gone head to head. Moreover, United have seen more than two goals in five of their last six versus top-six sides, while Spurs have had this in each of their last six across all competitions prior to hosting Brighton.
Spurs have won the last three games hosting United, scoring at least twice in each of these, including that win at Wembley back in January. Meanwhile, four of the Red Devils’ nine defeats this season have come via 2-1 scores and since 2011/12 they’ve failed to score in just two of 17 FA Cup matches against Premier League sides, but they’ve still lost four of their last five against the Big Six in the cup, including two 2-1 losses. Given Spurs have conceded in eight of their 10 encounters with top-six sides this term the 2-1 correct score looks a more than reasonable price.