Chelsea were convincingly beaten by the Magpies last weekend as they ultimately fell well short of a Champions League spot for next season. That makes this final even more significant for the Blues after a season of relative mediocrity, particularly if Antonio Conte has any ambition about keeping his job. Their opposition, Man Utd, have also been struggling however, as they’ve won only one of their last three matches. United, at least, were secure in their top four position during that run and Jose Mourinho does have an incredible record in finals, winning 12 of his 14 as a coach. The only two losses both occurred in extra-time and at these prices you have to be backing Man Utd.
There’s been a distinct lack of goals in the FA Cup finals since the 1994/95 season, with 15 of the last 23 matches seeing fewer than three goals, and given the form of both teams that looks an absolute banker. The Red Devils have had fewer than three goals in seven of their last nine league games on the road, while Chelsea have gone under that mark in four of their last five matches in all competitions. Furthermore, seven of the nine meetings between these two sides have had fewer than three goals since 2014/15.
The Blues have lost their last two trips to fellow Big Six sides, losing the last of these 1-0 at Man City. Since Alvaro Morata stopped scoring – he netted eight in Chelsea’s opening 12 league games but just three since then – the Blues managed just 39 goals in their final 26 Premier League matches. That’s fewer than Leicester and the same as Crystal Palace managed in that time and in all competitions they’ve failed to score on nine occasions in that period. Man Utd, meanwhile, kept more clean sheets than any other side in the Premier League this term with 19, but their own lack of goals makes the 1-0 a great value side bet to the win.