TPC at River Highlands has been ripped apart by a handful of golfers down the years most notably Jim Furyk who shot an incredible 58 here back in 2016. Between 12 and 16 under have won the last four renewals however and it is clear despite that score of Furyk that it isn't a course which will be easily overpowered for four days on the trot. Spieth won last year but he was in a lot better form in the run up to this event last season. Knox, Streelman and Duke are either side of Bubba Watson as the other winners around here recently so there is no doubt the changes made to the course int he last few years have resulted in a much more strategic game profiting here.
A star studded field lines up for the 2018 renewal headed by world number 2 Justin Thomas. Thomas is in solid but unspectacular form for him right now and two missed cuts from his last three tries here is enough to put me off this week. McIlroy's struggles continue and although he will be better suited to the task this week I can't get involved until I see some better signs. Spieth is in the same boat and despite winning on debut here last year must be left alone when looking for a bet here this week.
I am surprised Paul Casey is such a big number on the exchange (currently 28 as I write) and although I'll be taking a chunk at that price an each-way wager with the bookmakers is a must bet this week. Casey's three attempts here read 5-17-2. With a quiet top 20 poasted at Shinnecock last week it just continued this fine year that Casey is having. Make no mistake about it, Casey has reached a new level and a major win soon is not out of the question. 12 top ten finishes and a victory from his last 35 events show you just what kind of form he is in. Confidence is brimming and where better to win his second event this season than here. 11 of last 12 rounds here have been in the 60s, including all four last year and Casey rates as the best bet in the field for me.
3pts each-way P.Casey 18/1 (1/5 8)
Webb Simpson is tempting given how well he is playing and the reliance on playing par 4s well this week and although I think his price is very much on the skinny side I have to include him in my staking plan. Simpson has two top tens here and hasn't missed the cut in right appearances at this track. He managed a top ten at last weeks US Open and generally seems to be playing these strategic tracks very well indeed. This isn't a track that requires length and that is an advantage here, just like it was at Sawgrass. Webb continues to play par 4s very well which is important here and his putter is finding some very hot form again. Would have liked a bigger number but at 25s we will have an each way bet.
1.5pts each-way W.Simpson 22/1 (1/5 8)
Finally I'll chance Brandt Snedeker at a nice looking price this week. There is no doubt there is a glimmer of hope for this season now for Snedeker given a top ten two weeks ago and a solid made cut at Shinnecock last week. Snedeker is in the same mould as Furyk and Spieth who have no big weaknesses in their game. Tee to green Snedeker is solid and when his putter gets hot he contends regularly. This has been one of his happier hunting grounds with three top 15 finishes in his last three trips here. 66/1 is available when he was only 80/1 to win last weeks US Open so it looks a bet to me.
1pt each-way B.Snedeker 66/1 (1/5 7)