BMW Championship Betting Tips & Preview
Three tips and three big names from Niall Lyons - And at some big prices!
The Aronimimk Golf course in Philadelphia last played host to this event back in 2011 when Nick Watney took home the spoils. The year before Justin Rose was the champion but the course has changed a lot since with a re-design. What was a tree lined, classical layout has been significantly changed back to its original design. Many trees have been removed to make way for wider fairways and the course has been lengthened a shade also. Where accuracy and strategy off the tee was the name of the game back in 2010 it certainly seems that those bigger hitters will have room to open their shoulders and try to gain a winning advantage from the tee.
Dustin Johnson still tops the market these weeks although it is clear to see he isn't quite his usual dominant self. He continues to string together impressive results regardless but every week there seems to be a handful of golfers you'd rather back instead and let Dustin win at single figures without much fuss. Justin Rose finished runner up last week and must fancy his chances coming back to a venue he has won on before. The course is a lot different though and Rose is a short enough 2nd favourite in my view and best left alone.
I am going to continue my journey with JORDAN SPIETH (best price $21) this week as this will be the third week in a row I have invested. It would be narrow minded to think of the money already lost though and you have to take this as a new betting heat and forget what has happened the last two weeks. He had sufficient chances last week and with every step he took forwarded he then took two back. His putting in improving however and he certainly is not far away. The widened fairways should give him a bit more grace off the tee and lately that has been causing a problem. At a top price of $19 it still certainly looks like chancing because despite his problems of late I still consider him to be the most special golfer in the world. He has won the Fedex before and is just inside the top 30 so there is an element of pressure on him to perform here. He should be really beginning to fancy his chances here and with a bit less trouble around than recent weeks I think this could be his best opportunity. I will be going win only this week on my 3 picks as I see little margin in the place parts of these bets.
My second pick goes to JON RAHM (best price $34). Currently $34 on the machine win only it looks like a tasty price to me. He hasn't been pulling up many trees lately but nevertheless houses three top 5 finishes in his last 7 events. I find it slightly difficult to gauge which kind of course really suits Rahm at this point in his career but I can't help but feel he has been disadvantaged of late due to the tightness off the tee in the last few weeks. Aronimink will grant him the chance to take advantage of his power off the tee and given the way he handled some difficult angled approaches into greens at Portstewart I think the approach play at this course will play into his hands. He is a superpower in golf nowadays and I think he will take one of these events by the scruff soon enough. Hopefully it is this week.
Finally I think BUBBA WATSON (best price $67) is worth a play given the way he finished last week. 7th place was a welcome return to form and being a 3 time winner on the tour this season he has certainly been disrespected in the market of late. I am amazed he isn't a fair bit shorter this week given how he can move the ball about off the tee with ease here without the usual collection of trees. Last week was a significant upturn in fortunes for Watson and it would be foolish to rule out a performance this week that would take him to number 1 in the rankings for East Lake next week.
See our betting tips and preview for the Omega European Masters