Memorial Tournament Tips & Betting Preview
Four contenders for this week's event on the PGA Tour.
The Nicklaus designed layout at Muirfield Village takes centre stage this week is always one of the more coveted titles on tour and the pros fall over themselves to get the Nicklaus handshake greenside on Sunday evening for winning the event. It is a classical layout which demands accuracy from the tee and an ability to hit small targets with plenty of trouble surrounding the greens. One of the most important stats around here is par 4 scoring. The placings here in the last few years are littered with those who ranked top or very near the top of par 4 scoring that week.
Rory McIlroy heds to post as jolly and the $10* I am sure will tempt many. He hasn't done an awful lot wrong all season and a classic golf course like this where he has posted four top tens before might just be the tonic to add to his winning tally this season. He certainly looks a better proposition than Tiger at a few pts bigger who missed the cut at the PGA. Rose and Thomas have negatives so it is easy to envisage a strong performance from McIlroy and I certainly wouldn't put anyone off getting involved at that price.
South African Louis Oosthuizen looks a tasty punt to me this week at a top price of $67*. He disappointed at the PGA eventually finishing 60th after showing signs early he could secure a place for us. He has enjoyed a solid year with a top 5 in Abu Dhabi and a runner up spot at the Valspar. A beaten quarter finalist in the Matchplay was another sign a win stateside may not be far off. He lies 32nd in Driving accuracy and 19th in Par 4 scoring so I expect him to score well this week in Ohio. He hasn't played a lot of golf at this venue down the years but a 13th placed finish last year is a good sign. He closed with a final round 65 last year which was only bettered once all week, by McIlroy who shot a 64. It has been a good season for Louis and at $67* is a shade overpriced.
Having fallen outside the worlds top 300 only eight months ago Jim Furyk has found some form of old and now sits 50th in the world with a rapid ascent this calendar year. Outside of two missed cuts this year his finishes read 14-37-9-2-18-17-23-13. He has figured on a Sunday now on a handful of occasions this year and a track that rewards his accurate long game should mean he relishes this opportunity. In his pomp he had two runner up finishes and a victory here so this can be considered among his most prolific tracks. I am surprised there were 3 figure prices out there on Monday, but the $81* on offer looks like a bet.
Regular readers will know how much of a fan I am of Aaron Wise and and at triple figures certainly looks worth a second glance this week. Wise has won one event in each of the last three years on the Canadian, Web.com and main tour respectively. He is likely to continue that run and the Memorial looks an ideal venue for him to score well. 17th at the Masters was backed up with a 41st placed spot at the PGA a few weeks ago and he looks to be gearing up to a big performance. His missed cut here last year can be somewhat glossed over after posting a runner up finish and a win in the few weeks leading into this event. Overall I just really like his price for someone I consider to be a future major and 3 figure prices will usually tempt me.
Peter Uihlein's last six rounds of golf read 63-64-67-73-67-69. He has clearly found a purple patch and has been somewhat underestimated by the bookmakers this week. He totals 15 under par for his last eight rounds on this track also so everything is pointing towards a decent performance. A win on the Web.com tour in this state a few years ago is another bonus. Uihlein certainly strikes me as someone who can reach another level and his 5th placed finish at the Byron Nelson and 13th last week at Coloniol are signs he is heading in the right direction. Of others towards the top of the market Kuchar and Matsuyama were appealing whilst Keegan Bradley was another who just fell short of making my staking plan.